World
Where are Russia’s top generals? Rumors swirl after mercenary mutiny
Russia’s most senior generals have dropped out of public view following a failed mercenary mutiny aimed at toppling the top brass, amid a drive by President Vladimir Putin to reassert his authority.
Unconfirmed reports say at least one person has been arrested, Reuters reported.
Armed forces chief of staff General Valery Gerasimov has not appeared in public or on state TV since the aborted mutiny on Saturday when mercenary leader Yevgeny Prigozhin demanded Gerasimov be handed over. Nor has he been mentioned in a defense ministry press release since June 9.
Gerasimov, 67, is the commander of Russia’s war in Ukraine, and the holder of one of Russia’s three “nuclear briefcases,” according to some Western military analysts.
Absent from view too is General Sergei Surovikin, nicknamed “General Armageddon” by the Russian press for his aggressive tactics in the Syrian conflict, who is deputy commander of Russian forces in Ukraine.
A New York Times report, based on a U.S. intelligence briefing, said on Tuesday he had advance knowledge of the mutiny and that Russian authorities were checking if he was complicit.
The Kremlin on Wednesday played down the report, saying that there would be a lot of speculation and gossip.
U.S. officials told Reuters on Wednesday that Surovikin had been in support of Prigozhin, but that Western intelligence did not know with certainty if he had helped the rebellion in any way.
The Russian-language version of the Moscow Times and one military blogger reported Surovikin’s arrest, while some other military correspondents who command large followings in Russia said he and other senior officers were being questioned by the FSB security service to verify their loyalty.
Reuters could not determine whether Surovikin had been arrested or was being screened, along with others, for their reliability in a more standard exercise.
Rybar, an influential channel on the Telegram messaging application run by a former Russian defense ministry press officer, said a purge was underway.
He said the authorities were trying to weed out military personnel deemed to have shown “a lack of decisiveness” in putting down the mutiny amid some reports that parts of the armed forces appear to have done little to stop Wagner fighters in the initial stage of the rebellion.
“The armed insurgency by the Wagner private military company has become a pretext for a massive purge in the ranks of the Russian Armed Forces,” Rybar said.
Such a move, if confirmed, could alter the way Russia wages its war in Ukraine — which it calls a “special military operation” — and cause turmoil in the ranks at a time when Moscow is trying to thwart a Ukrainian counteroffensive.
It could also cement or elevate the positions of other senior military and security figures regarded as loyal.
There was no official comment on what was going on from the defense ministry.
Some Russian and Western military and political analysts believe Defence Minister Sergei Shoigu, a veteran Putin ally who Prigozhin wanted to bring down with Gerasimov because of his alleged incompetence, may actually now be safer in his job.
“I think he (Prigozhin) actually expected something would be done about Shoigu and Gerasimov, that Putin would rule in his favor,” Michael Kofman, a Russian military specialist at the Carnegie Endowment think tank, wrote on Twitter.
“Instead, his mutiny may have ensured their continued tenure, despite being universally recognised as incompetent, and widely detested in the Russian Federation’s armed forces.”
General Viktor Zolotov, head of the National Guard and once Putin’s bodyguard, appears to be another beneficiary after appearing in public to say his men were ready to “stand to the death” to defend Moscow from Wagner.
He has spoken of the possibility of getting heavy weaponry and tanks for his forces in the wake of the mutiny.
Gerasimov was conspicuous by his absence when Putin on Tuesday thanked the army for averting a civil war, unlike Shoigu who has made several public appearances since.
Surovikin, Gerasimov’s deputy, was last seen on Saturday when he appeared in a video appealing to Prigozhin to halt his mutiny. He looked exhausted and it was unclear if he was speaking under duress.
Dara Massicot, an expert in the Russian military at the RAND Corporation think tank, said that something looked odd about the video, in which Surovikin has an automatic weapon on his lap.
“I noted a few days ago, there was something very off here. He’s not wearing his insignia or rank tabs. 30+ years in the military and he’s not got them on, even at night? Nope,” she wrote on Twitter.
There were unconfirmed Russian media and blogger reports on Wednesday evening that Surovikin was being held in Moscow’s Lefortovo detention facility after being arrested.
Alexei Venediktov, a well-connected journalist, said – without citing his sources – that Surovikin had not been in touch with his family since Saturday and that his bodyguards had gone silent too.
Lawrence Freedman, Emeritus Professor of War Studies at King’s College London, said Surovikin’s removal, if true, could be more destabilizing to Russia’s war effort than Saturday’s mutiny “especially if other associates of Prigozhin/Surovikin start to get purged.”
“Surovikin (is) a brute but also one of the more capable Russian commanders,” Freedman said on Twitter.
World
Four ways US foreign policy could change if Democrats win in November
Nonpartisan analysts say Democrats stand a good chance of winning the US House of Representatives and possibly the Senate in the November 3 midterm elections, which would give them a slice of power in Washington after two years of Republican control.
Democrats argue that Republicans have allowed President Donald Trump’s administration to declare war and control spending, even though the US Constitution reserves those powers for lawmakers, according to Reuters.
Here are some ways a Democratic Congress could hem in Trump’s foreign policy.
CURB THE IRAN WAR
Trump did not secure approval from Congress before he launched the war with Iran on February 28, and Democrats have voted repeatedly to end the fighting unless he does so. One of these resolutions passed with support from a handful of Republicans, but Trump’s administration ignored it.
With control of the House or the Senate, Democrats could cut defense spending to pressure Trump to obtain permission from Congress to continue the war. They could also require administration officials to testify publicly about their plans.
FRESH SUPPORT FOR UKRAINE
Trump has largely halted direct US financial and military aid to Ukraine, despite broad support from Democratic and Republican lawmakers as it fights a Russian invasion.
Most recently, he has angered members of Congress, including many Republicans, by lifting sanctions on Russian diesel and waiving sanctions on Russian energy only weeks after signing them into law.
With a victory in both chambers in November, Democrats would be able to decide what gets voted on and when.
That could allow them to approve new aid to Ukraine, which likely would pass with the two-thirds majorities needed to overcome a Trump veto.
They could also target other Trump activities. For example, Representative Gregory Meeks of New York, who could head the House Foreign Affairs Committee if Democrats win control, has introduced bipartisan legislation to block Trump’s plan to bring Russian diesel back into the global market.
END MILITARY AID TO ISRAEL
Support for Israel has plummeted among Democrats over its conduct in the Gaza war, which has killed tens of thousands of Palestinian civilians. The ongoing violence in the Israeli-occupied West Bank and Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu’s close alliance with Republicans have also been factors.
Democrats could limit or end military aid to Israel, which amounted to $3.8 billion in the most recent fiscal year. That is more than was provided to any other country.
Nearly half of House Democrats voted this summer to cut off aid to Israel. Some of those who voted against that effort, such as Meeks, have backed limits on providing weapons like heavy bombs to Israel.
LIMIT MILITARY SPENDING AND RESTORE FOREIGN AID
Democrats are far more likely than Trump’s Republicans to limit military spending. Trump asked for an unprecedented 67% increase in the military budget this year, to $1.5 trillion, but Democrats blocked it in the Senate, citing his refusal to consult Congress about the Iran war and his steep cuts to social programs.
Trump has also withheld or canceled billions of dollars in foreign aid approved by Congress. Many Democrats have been angered by the cuts and say they will try to restore funding.
World
Senior UAE diplomat Lana Nusseibeh enters race for UN chief
Nusseibeh, 48, said she was approached by multiple countries during the last UN General Assembly to put herself forward. She previously led the UAE’s successful campaign for election to the Security Council. Diplomats in New York say she is respected as a competent manager.
Senior UAE diplomat Lana Nusseibeh entered the race to become the next United Nations secretary-general on Wednesday, injecting a prominent Middle Eastern candidate into a contest that has struggled to produce a consensus choice among the Security Council’s most powerful members.
Nusseibeh, a former UAE ambassador to the UN for more than a decade, told Reuters she would seek to restore the world body’s role as a diplomatic problem-solver at a time of mounting global crises.
“It’s clear that today we need a secretary-general that can recommit to the future of multilateralism and the future of the United Nations as a problem-solver rather than as a spectator to the world’s crises,” she said shortly before going public with her candidacy.
Nusseibeh, the UAE minister of state for foreign affairs, is a late entrant to the race. An informal Security Council poll had placed former Costa Rican Vice President Rebeca Grynspan as the narrow frontrunner, sources have said.
Although Grynspan has led the informal “straw polls,” last week she and all other candidates received two or more opposing votes from the ultimately decisive five permanent members of the council — Britain, China, France, Russia and the US.
Council members are negotiating over whether to hold another poll this Friday or at a later stage.
ENTREPRENEURIAL DIPLOMACY
Nusseibeh, 48, said she was approached by multiple countries during the last UN General Assembly to put herself forward. She previously led the UAE’s successful campaign for election to the Security Council. Diplomats in New York say she is respected as a competent manager.
“It’s recognized today that we need someone who offers generational change for the organization,” she said.
Her UN tenure overlapped with the outbreak of the Gaza war in 2023 when she secured the adoption of Resolution 2720 paving the way for the delivery of humanitarian aid.
Nusseibeh said she secured support for the resolution by arranging a visit by council members to the Rafah border crossing to see for themselves the situation on the ground, describing the move as part of her “creative entrepreneurial diplomacy” that characterizes her approach.
RELENTLESS DIPLOMACY
As a top UAE diplomat, Nusseibeh has championed Abu Dhabi’s assertive foreign policy and heavy focus on countering political Islam.
The UAE has faced criticism over Sudan after UN sanctions monitors described allegations that it provided military support to the paramilitary Rapid Support Forces as credible. The UAE denies the allegations.
Asked how the allegations might affect her candidacy, Nusseibeh said she had taken leave from her UAE post and would focus on Sudan’s humanitarian crisis.
A Nusseibeh victory would make her the second UN chief from the Middle East, after Egypt’s Boutros Boutros-Ghali.
“I come from a country that is younger than the United Nations but our region is one that has been facing severe challenges,” she said.
She would also become the first woman to lead the UN, though Nusseibeh said she was not running on her gender.
“I think it would be great if the next secretary-general was a woman but I’m not running because I’m a woman; I’m running because I am stubbornly optimistic about the future of the United Nations and I believe we need someone who is relentless in the pursuit of diplomacy to open doors.”
World
Governments warn citizens over security risks in France after riots
The unrest on Saturday saw clashes between protesters and police, looting at shops and a town hall set on fire, prompting several countries to update their travel advisories.
Governments across Europe and Asia have warned their citizens to exercise caution in France following violent protests over the rising cost of living and declining public services that erupted into riots over the weekend.
The unrest on Saturday saw clashes between protesters and police, looting at shops and a town hall set on fire, prompting several countries to update their travel advisories.
Italy urged its citizens in France to avoid large crowds and exercise extreme caution. Its foreign ministry also advised travellers to register their presence through an official website or mobile application to help authorities locate them if necessary.
Germany warned that further riots could occur in the coming days and urged its nationals to follow instructions from local police. It also cautioned that people could face fines or claims for damages if they failed to leave unauthorised demonstrations when ordered to do so.
The Czech Republic advised its citizens to stay away from demonstrations, marches and public gatherings, citing a deterioration in the security situation, the Czech news agency CTK reported.
Poland similarly urged visitors to avoid areas where demonstrations were taking place, although it made no changes to its overall assessment of France as a travel destination.
The Netherlands has also advised travellers to avoid protests, according to its travel guidance, last updated on October 7.
Denmark, Sweden, Finland and Norway issued similar warnings, urging their citizens in France to avoid demonstrations and follow instructions from local authorities.
Outside Europe, Malaysia’s Foreign Ministry said it was monitoring the demonstrations. While travel to France remained unrestricted, it advised Malaysians to consider postponing non-essential trips until the situation improved.
Malaysia’s embassy in Paris also urged citizens in France to remain vigilant and exercise caution.
The warnings reflect growing concern among foreign governments over the potential for further violence as France faces public anger over living costs and pressure on public services. Authorities have urged visitors and residents to monitor local developments and follow police instructions.
-
Latest News3 days agoAfghanistan’s new Wakhan road to China faces major hurdles
-
Latest News5 days agoQatar calls for shift from humanitarian aid to economic recovery in Afghanistan
-
Science & Technology4 days agoGovernments take websites offline as critical cyber flaws trigger global alert
-
World5 days agoGovernments warn citizens over security risks in France after riots
-
Business5 days agoTransit of Afghan goods through Sheikh Abu Nasr Farahi border crossing doubles
-
Latest News4 days agoCSTO to supply Tajikistan with weapons to strengthen Afghan border
-
Latest News4 days agoRussia to expand security and defence cooperation with Afghanistan
-
Regional5 days agoIran tells Pakistan army chief no talks with Washington until demands are met
