Climate Change
Who’s who at this year’s COP28 climate talks, and what do they want?
As the world wrangles over its next steps in fighting climate change, each country has its own concerns and interests they hope to advance at this year’s U.N. climate summit.
U.N. climate negotiations can only pass deals with unanimous support from all countries present. That makes finding consensus a daunting challenge.
Here are some of the main players and negotiating blocs involved in the COP28 conference starting Nov. 30 in Dubai, Reuters reports.
CHINA
China leads the world in both clean and dirty energy, with more renewable energy capacity and more coal consumption than any other country. Responsible for about 30% of annual global emissions, China is the world’s biggest greenhouse gas emitter.
The country is also suffering climate change impacts, including heatwaves and flooding, as well as extreme drought.
In climate negotiations, Beijing argues that wealthy developed countries like the United States, the biggest historical CO2 emitter, should move first and fastest in climate policy and finance.
Despite having the world’s second largest economy after the United States, China considers itself as a developing nation in the climate talks.
UNITED STATES
The world’s second-biggest emitter comes to COP28 a year into rolling out its $369 billion-plus subsidy package for electric vehicles and other green products. The Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) is expected to triple the country’s clean energy capacity by 2030.
The U.S. and European Union are now asking others to join a COP28 pledge to triple renewable capacity this decade.
The United States – the world’s biggest oil and gas producer – also supports a COP28 deal calling to phase out CO2-emitting fossil fuel use.
But U.S. delegates will face pressure for climate finance after Washington pledged no new climate cash to the United Nations this year. The U.S. supports creating a new fund to help poor countries deal with climate-caused damage, but wants the deal to make clear no country will be obliged to pay into it.
EUROPEAN UNION
The 27-country EU’s negotiating position for COP28 is among the most ambitious. The bloc will push for tripling renewable capacity, phasing out CO2-emitting fossil fuels, ending new coal-fuelled power plants and powering electricity grids with renewable sources in the 2030s.
The EU also wants countries to agree that technologies to “abate” – meaning capture – emissions will only be used sparingly. That sets up a clash between the EU and countries that are reliant on fossil fuels and see abatement technology as a way to prolong their use.
At the U.N. climate talks, the EU bloc is traditionally allied with climate-vulnerable small island states. But the EU is at odds with those allies over some details of the climate damage fund.
The EU wants China and other large economies to pay into the planned fund, which Beijing opposes.
UNITED KINGDOM
Despite leaving the EU in 2020, the United Kingdom comes to COP with similar asks to the bloc – including on phasing out fossil fuels and tripling renewable energy.
This year, however, London raised eyebrows among some climate diplomats by weakening some green policies and approving 27 licenses for oil and gas exploration. The UK government says it is still on track to meet its climate targets.
‘BASIC’ COUNTRIES
Brazil, South Africa, India and China make up this bloc of populous, fast-developing countries. Each has asked for more climate financing and equity through the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) concept of “common but differentiated responsibilities” – meaning rich countries that emitted the most historically should do more to address the problem.
India last year proposed widening a deal on phasing down coal to include oil and gas. It won backing from more than 80 countries, but Saudi Arabia and other oil and gas producers blocked it.
Brazil has spearheaded negotiations on rules for carbon credit markets, through which it plans to monetise its vast forests.
South Africa secured a 2021 deal for $8.5 billion from the EU, United States and other nations to help its shift from coal to renewable energy. But the country now is facing its worst power crisis, with rolling blackouts and ageing coal plants frequently breaking down.
OTHER NEGOTIATING BLOCS:
G77 + CHINA
This alliance of 77 developing countries and China also holds that rich countries have a bigger responsibility to cut CO2 than poorer nations. A key question this year is whether the G77 will stick together as smaller climate-vulnerable nations seek urgent climate action, while larger members like China are wary of rapid CO2 cuts.
AFRICAN GROUP OF NEGOTIATORS
African countries will be pushing at COP28 for climate finance and financial mechanisms to speed up green energy projects.
Some African countries including Kenya, Ethiopia and Senegal have backed calls for phasing out fossil fuel production. But others like Mozambique want to develop their reserves of gas – both to boost their energy capacity and to capitalise on European gas demand. Any deal on phasing out fossil fuels, the group says, must allow poor nations to develop reserves in the short term to alleviate energy poverty.
ALLIANCE OF SMALL ISLAND STATES
The alliance, known by its acronym AOSIS, represents countries that are disproportionately vulnerable to climate effects including sea level rise.
The group’s front-line experiences lend its members an influential position in COP talks, where its priorities include securing loss and damage finance and phasing out fossil fuel use to limit global warming to 1.5 Celsius – a threshold beyond which island nations face catastrophic climate impacts.
HIGH AMBITION COALITION
Chaired by the Marshall Islands and including Vanuatu, Costa Rica, the United States and the European Union, this group pushes for more ambitious emissions targets and policies – among them, this year, halting new coal plants and peaking the world’s emissions before 2025.
LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRY GROUP
This group’s 46 nations are highly vulnerable to climate change but have contributed little to it. Aside from demanding that loss and damage be addressed, the LDCs want rich nations to double their financing for climate adaptation.
INDEPENDENT ALLIANCE OF LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN
The AILAC bloc is aligned with other developing countries in demanding greater climate ambition and more funding.
Climate Change
El Niño likely to intensify, may become strongest ever recorded, WMO says
A very strong El Niño can significantly shift rainfall and temperature patterns worldwide, and fuel extreme weather, like typhoons.
The El Niño weather phenomenon is set to intensify further into 2027 and could be the strongest ever, raising risks of extreme weather into next year, the World Meteorological Organization said on Thursday.
“If this trajectory continues, it may be stronger than anything since our monitoring began. So literally off the charts we have used for the past four decades,” WMO Secretary-General Celeste Saulo told a Geneva press conference, Reuters reported.
The U.N. weather agency said its forecasts showed a near 100% likelihood that El Niño will persist through February 2027, fuelled by exceptionally warm Pacific Ocean temperatures. This is the first time it has expressed such a degree of certainty, the WMO said.
A very strong El Niño can significantly shift rainfall and temperature patterns worldwide, and fuel extreme weather, like typhoons.
“El Niño is being supersized before our eyes. The science leaves no room for doubt: The planet is in uncharted waters, and those waters are heating up,” said United Nations Secretary-General Antonio Guterres.
El Niño is a periodic warming of sea surface temperatures in the eastern Pacific caused by weakening trade winds. It occurs naturally every two to seven years and tends to last up to 12 months, causing intense rains and droughts across Latin America.
This year’s phenomenon has already had an impact on soft commodities in tropical areas, causing a severe food crisis across Central America’s Dry Corridor.
It is set to peak towards the end of this year, the WMO said in a statement. But its effects will continue into 2027 and are set to leave higher global temperatures next year in its wake, Saulo said.
Saulo said the WMO was stepping up preparedness and early warning efforts in preparation.
“WMO is committed to working closely with partners across the United Nations and humanitarian system to provide the climate intelligence and insights needed to support disaster management and climate-sensitive sectors like agriculture, health, energy and water resources,” she said.
Climate Change
Nepal flood rescue mission enters critical phase as thousands remain missing
Nepal’s search, rescue and recovery operation has entered a critical phase after devastating flash floods swept through communities along the Bhotekoshi and Trishuli river systems, leaving hundreds dead and thousands of people still unaccounted for.
The latest figures put the death toll at 734, with 2,498 people still missing. More than 8,000 people have been rescued or evacuated, including foreign nationals.
The disaster struck on August 26 when a massive surge of water and debris tore through communities in northern and central Nepal. The precise cause remains under investigation, although the catastrophe has been linked to a glacier collapse or ice-and-rock avalanche in the Himalayan region.
Rescue teams race to reach trapped workers
Among the most urgent rescue operations is the search for workers believed to be trapped inside hydropower tunnels along the Trishuli corridor.
Authorities say 933 hydropower workers are among those reported missing. At the Trishuli 3A hydropower project, rescuers have inserted a pipe into a tunnel and begun pumping air inside as teams work to reach people who may still be alive.
Specialist teams from neighbouring India and China are assisting with the difficult tunnel operations. Access remains extremely challenging, with roads and bridges destroyed, tunnel entrances buried and sections of infrastructure cut off by mud and floodwater.
Helicopters remain vital
With large sections of the affected region inaccessible by road, helicopters have become a crucial part of the rescue effort.
Military and other rescue aircraft are being used to evacuate survivors, transport food and medical supplies and reach communities cut off by the destruction. Poor weather, mountainous terrain and rising river levels, however, continue to hamper operations.
Authorities have also warned residents to remain vigilant as water levels rise in some rivers and new landslides create additional risks.
Search turns to recovery
As hopes of finding survivors continue, rescue teams are also facing the grim task of recovering and identifying victims.
Hundreds of bodies and human remains have been recovered from flood-affected districts, with some carried considerable distances downstream. The scale of the disaster has placed enormous pressure on local identification facilities, while additional forensic and DNA-testing support is being sought.
Families of missing people have gathered at hospitals, rescue centres and military bases, searching lists of survivors and recovered victims for information about relatives who remain unaccounted for.
International assistance grows
International support is also arriving as Nepal begins the enormous task of providing emergency assistance and planning for reconstruction.
India has deployed specialist rescue personnel and relief supplies, while China is assisting with tunnel rescue operations. Other countries and international organisations are also providing humanitarian assistance and specialist equipment.
The destruction of roads, bridges, homes, power infrastructure and hydropower facilities is expected to create a major long-term reconstruction challenge.
A race against time
For rescuers, the immediate priority remains finding those who may still be alive beneath collapsed structures and inside flooded tunnels.
For families, the operation is becoming a desperate search for answers.
Across the devastated river valleys, rescue workers continue digging through mud and debris while helicopters move between isolated communities. But with thousands still missing and the threat of further flooding and landslides, authorities face a race against time to locate survivors and recover those who did not make it.
Climate Change
China evacuates thousands as Typhoon Narra brings torrential rain
Flooding and waterlogging were also reported in Pingxiang City and Ningming County, with rural roads submerged and farmland inundated.
Authorities in China’s southern Guangxi Zhuang Autonomous Region are evacuating residents trapped by flooding as Typhoon Narra brings heavy rain to the area.
In Shangsi County of Fangchenggang City, floodwater reached around 1.5 metres in some urban areas, inundating major roads and leaving several villages without drinking water, electricity or communications.
Local authorities deployed 50 militiamen to search for and rescue residents overnight using rubber boats and relief supplies. At least 203 people have been safely evacuated.
Flooding and waterlogging were also reported in Pingxiang City and Ningming County, with rural roads submerged and farmland inundated.
More than 400 militiamen were deployed to help evacuate residents, including door-to-door operations. In one severely affected village in Ningming, inflatable boats were used to ferry villagers across a flooded river.
In Youyi Township of Pingxiang, rescuers helped elderly people and children with limited mobility reach safer areas. By Monday morning, local militiamen had assisted 1,499 people trapped by the floods.
Typhoon Narra, the 19th typhoon of the year, was located in the Beibu Gulf early Monday, about 185 kilometres southwest of Beihai, with maximum winds of 23 metres per second near its centre.
The storm was expected to move eastward before turning north, travelling at 5 to 10 kilometres per hour toward coastal areas of Guangxi and western Leizhou Peninsula in neighbouring Guangdong Province.
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