Climate Change
Who’s who at this year’s COP28 climate talks, and what do they want?
As the world wrangles over its next steps in fighting climate change, each country has its own concerns and interests they hope to advance at this year’s U.N. climate summit.
U.N. climate negotiations can only pass deals with unanimous support from all countries present. That makes finding consensus a daunting challenge.
Here are some of the main players and negotiating blocs involved in the COP28 conference starting Nov. 30 in Dubai, Reuters reports.
CHINA
China leads the world in both clean and dirty energy, with more renewable energy capacity and more coal consumption than any other country. Responsible for about 30% of annual global emissions, China is the world’s biggest greenhouse gas emitter.
The country is also suffering climate change impacts, including heatwaves and flooding, as well as extreme drought.
In climate negotiations, Beijing argues that wealthy developed countries like the United States, the biggest historical CO2 emitter, should move first and fastest in climate policy and finance.
Despite having the world’s second largest economy after the United States, China considers itself as a developing nation in the climate talks.
UNITED STATES
The world’s second-biggest emitter comes to COP28 a year into rolling out its $369 billion-plus subsidy package for electric vehicles and other green products. The Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) is expected to triple the country’s clean energy capacity by 2030.
The U.S. and European Union are now asking others to join a COP28 pledge to triple renewable capacity this decade.
The United States – the world’s biggest oil and gas producer – also supports a COP28 deal calling to phase out CO2-emitting fossil fuel use.
But U.S. delegates will face pressure for climate finance after Washington pledged no new climate cash to the United Nations this year. The U.S. supports creating a new fund to help poor countries deal with climate-caused damage, but wants the deal to make clear no country will be obliged to pay into it.
EUROPEAN UNION
The 27-country EU’s negotiating position for COP28 is among the most ambitious. The bloc will push for tripling renewable capacity, phasing out CO2-emitting fossil fuels, ending new coal-fuelled power plants and powering electricity grids with renewable sources in the 2030s.
The EU also wants countries to agree that technologies to “abate” – meaning capture – emissions will only be used sparingly. That sets up a clash between the EU and countries that are reliant on fossil fuels and see abatement technology as a way to prolong their use.
At the U.N. climate talks, the EU bloc is traditionally allied with climate-vulnerable small island states. But the EU is at odds with those allies over some details of the climate damage fund.
The EU wants China and other large economies to pay into the planned fund, which Beijing opposes.
UNITED KINGDOM
Despite leaving the EU in 2020, the United Kingdom comes to COP with similar asks to the bloc – including on phasing out fossil fuels and tripling renewable energy.
This year, however, London raised eyebrows among some climate diplomats by weakening some green policies and approving 27 licenses for oil and gas exploration. The UK government says it is still on track to meet its climate targets.
‘BASIC’ COUNTRIES
Brazil, South Africa, India and China make up this bloc of populous, fast-developing countries. Each has asked for more climate financing and equity through the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) concept of “common but differentiated responsibilities” – meaning rich countries that emitted the most historically should do more to address the problem.
India last year proposed widening a deal on phasing down coal to include oil and gas. It won backing from more than 80 countries, but Saudi Arabia and other oil and gas producers blocked it.
Brazil has spearheaded negotiations on rules for carbon credit markets, through which it plans to monetise its vast forests.
South Africa secured a 2021 deal for $8.5 billion from the EU, United States and other nations to help its shift from coal to renewable energy. But the country now is facing its worst power crisis, with rolling blackouts and ageing coal plants frequently breaking down.
OTHER NEGOTIATING BLOCS:
G77 + CHINA
This alliance of 77 developing countries and China also holds that rich countries have a bigger responsibility to cut CO2 than poorer nations. A key question this year is whether the G77 will stick together as smaller climate-vulnerable nations seek urgent climate action, while larger members like China are wary of rapid CO2 cuts.
AFRICAN GROUP OF NEGOTIATORS
African countries will be pushing at COP28 for climate finance and financial mechanisms to speed up green energy projects.
Some African countries including Kenya, Ethiopia and Senegal have backed calls for phasing out fossil fuel production. But others like Mozambique want to develop their reserves of gas – both to boost their energy capacity and to capitalise on European gas demand. Any deal on phasing out fossil fuels, the group says, must allow poor nations to develop reserves in the short term to alleviate energy poverty.
ALLIANCE OF SMALL ISLAND STATES
The alliance, known by its acronym AOSIS, represents countries that are disproportionately vulnerable to climate effects including sea level rise.
The group’s front-line experiences lend its members an influential position in COP talks, where its priorities include securing loss and damage finance and phasing out fossil fuel use to limit global warming to 1.5 Celsius – a threshold beyond which island nations face catastrophic climate impacts.
HIGH AMBITION COALITION
Chaired by the Marshall Islands and including Vanuatu, Costa Rica, the United States and the European Union, this group pushes for more ambitious emissions targets and policies – among them, this year, halting new coal plants and peaking the world’s emissions before 2025.
LEAST DEVELOPED COUNTRY GROUP
This group’s 46 nations are highly vulnerable to climate change but have contributed little to it. Aside from demanding that loss and damage be addressed, the LDCs want rich nations to double their financing for climate adaptation.
INDEPENDENT ALLIANCE OF LATIN AMERICA AND THE CARIBBEAN
The AILAC bloc is aligned with other developing countries in demanding greater climate ambition and more funding.
Climate Change
Forty drown in France as people seek relief from Europe’s heatwave
France experienced its hottest day on record on Tuesday, Meteo France forecaster said, with a peak of 44.3 degrees Celsius (111.74 degrees Fahrenheit) in one town in the south west.
Forty people have drowned in France over recent days as they sought to cool down to escape record heat, the prime minister said on Tuesday, as a heatwave swept across much of Europe.
Britain, Italy, Switzerland and Spain were also sweltering in extreme heat, with record temperatures in some areas disrupting schools and transport networks and forcing tourist sites – including the Eiffel Tower – to shut.
Europe is warming at more than twice the global average, according to the World Meteorological Organization, making such prolonged heat episodes increasingly likely.
HEAT ALERT ACROSS FRANCE
France experienced its hottest day on record on Tuesday, Meteo France forecaster said, with a peak of 44.3 degrees Celsius (111.74 degrees Fahrenheit) in one town in the south west.
Fifty-four departments are under red alerts in what Meteo France said was unprecedented. That will jump to 58 on Wednesday.
Across the country, people have been jumping into canals and rivers to cool off. Sports minister Marina Ferrari said she understood the urge to escape the heat but warned against swimming in unauthorized or dangerous areas.
Speaking ahead of an emergency meeting on the heatwave, Prime Minister Sebastien Lecornu called the drownings “a sad scourge” and said there had been 40 deaths since June 18, most of them young people.
On Monday, first responders were unable to resuscitate two children, aged 2 and 4, who were found unconscious by their mother in the family car outside their home, said a prosecutor in Carpentras, southeast France.
HEAT DOME
The heatwave is being driven by a weather pattern known as an Omega block, because it takes the shape of the Greek letter Ω, with a bulge of hot air trapped between cooler systems, allowing temperatures to build day after day. Heatwaves and storms are being intensified by climate change.
Meteo France said current conditions were comparable to the August 2003 heatwave, which lasted 16 days and led to an estimated 80,000 excess deaths across Europe. It was uncertain how long the current episode would last.
“Thursday will once again be a sweltering day (in France), with temperatures remaining just as high. On Friday, a gradual drop is expected to begin from the Atlantic coast,” the weather forecaster said.
Heatwaves can affect people’s physical and mental health but also force businesses to adapt and put grain harvests at risk.
HEAT ALERTS IN ITALY, BRITAIN
In Italy, the health ministry issued its highest level alert for 15 cities and authorities took measures to curtail work in some sectors. Storms were expected over the Alps and Apennines, bringing heavy rain, gusty winds and hail.
Britain is also in the grip of the heat, with the Met Office forecasting temperatures of up to 37 C in southern England on Tuesday — potentially a new June record — before rising further on Wednesday and Thursday. Dozens of schools planned early closures.
Transport networks across Europe came under strain, with trains cancelled or running more slowly.
CLIMATE SHELTERS
Spain’s meteorological agency has issued red alerts across parts of the country, warning of dangerous heat with temperatures expected to reach 44 C. Dozens of municipalities across northern Spain cancelled traditional bonfires due to wildfire risks.
Madrid has opened climate shelters for the homeless and other vulnerable people.
In Belgium, soaring temperatures forced a primary school near Brussels to relocate its final exams to a nearby church.
In Switzerland, the northeastern canton of St. Gallen restricted water withdrawal from rivers and lakes, citing low levels and high temperatures.
TRYING TO ADAPT
In cities affected by the heatwave, fans and air conditioning units were flying off the shelves.
“I came quick, I haven’t even had my coffee this morning, I ran here to buy an electric fan,” said filmmaker Victoria Yakubov, who managed to snag one last remaining fan in a Paris shop. “Everything was gone in less than 30 minutes.”
It was the same story in London, with fans “flying off the shelves”, John Lewis Oxford street branch manager, Paul Marsden said.
As parts of Europe baked, and the Eiffel Tower closed at 4 p.m. (1400 GMT) because of the heat, cooler northern destinations were drawing tourists seeking a “coolcation”.
“We were thinking about travelling to Croatia, but we came to Sweden because it’s cooler here,” said German tourist Katharina Rexing in Stockholm’s Old Town, on a day when it was 22 C in the Swedish capital and 30 C in Croatia’s Zagreb.
Climate Change
UN urges the world to ready for extreme heat risk from El Nino
The weather pattern is known to disrupt regional climates, potentially bringing warmer temperatures across the globe, while increasing rainfall to the southern parts of South America and the United States, parts of the Horn of Africa and central Asia.
The United Nations weather agency forecast on Tuesday a moderate or possibly a strong El Nino that could drive up global temperatures and increase the risk of extreme weather over the coming months.
El Nino is a periodic warming of sea surface temperatures in the central and eastern Pacific Ocean, which typically lasts between nine and 12 months, according to the World Meteorological Organization.
The WMO said warm ocean waters were driving El Nino’s development and predicted above-average temperatures in most parts of the world from June to August. The WMO said it is likely El Nino will continue until November.
It also said it remained uncertain how strong El Nino will be as models differ on its severity, but officials warned of the need to be ready.
“We need to prepare for a potentially strong El Nino event – which will exacerbate drought and heavy rainfall and increase the risk of heatwaves both on land and in the ocean,” said WMO Secretary-General Celeste Saulo.
MORE DROUGHTS, HURRICANES AND HEAT?
The weather pattern is known to disrupt regional climates, potentially bringing warmer temperatures across the globe, while increasing rainfall to the southern parts of South America and the United States, parts of the Horn of Africa and central Asia.
El Nino can also cause drought in Australia, Central America, Indonesia, and parts of south Asia, and spur hurricane formation in the central and eastern Pacific, the WMO said.
The last El Nino, which meteorologists said was strong, in 2023 to 2024 contributed to making 2024 the hottest year on record, Saulo said.
Saulo said other risks associated with extreme heat included a wider spread of diseases borne by vectors such as mosquitoes and ticks and reduced food and water supplies.
“Communities that were already struggling will be pushed farther beyond their limits,” she said.
For consumers, facing inflation because of the Iran war, food prices may rise further because of El Nino.
Hein Schumacher, CEO of Barry Callebaut, one of the world’s biggest cocoa processors, warned crops in the growing regions of Ecuador and West Africa that account for 60% of global output could be reduced.
“This is something that we are very cautiously observing,” he told media on a call on Tuesday. “El Nino could have an effect that could lead to, you know, a few thousands per ton.”
London cocoa futures are trading at £2,944 ($3,964.10) per metric ton, down from more than 9,000 in April 2024.
Some national weather agencies have forecast the strongest El Nino in a decade.
The WMO is more circumspect but said it had observed unusually warm subsurface conditions across the tropical Pacific with temperatures exceeding 6 degrees Celsius (10.8 degrees Fahrenheit) above average, creating a reservoir of heat that is driving surface warming.
U.N. Secretary-General António Guterres said it was a reminder of the need for a shift away from fossil fuels towards renewable energy.
“The world must treat it as the urgent climate warning it is. El Nino conditions will pour fuel on the fire of a warming world,” he said.
Climate Change
Afghanistan climate and housing challenges highlighted at World Urban Forum in Baku
Speakers also urged developed nations to expand support for vulnerable countries dealing with climate change, rapid urbanization and housing shortages.
The World Urban Forum, which opened Sunday in Baku, Azerbaijan, continued Tuesday with a special session focused on Afghanistan and the country’s growing urban and environmental challenges.
Ariana News correspondent Naweed Bahar, reporting from Baku, said the panel is expected to feature remarks from the head of UN-Habitat in Afghanistan and will examine key issues affecting the country.
According to forum reports, discussions will focus on the impact of climate change in Afghanistan, the social and economic pressures caused by the return of millions of migrants, and the country’s worsening housing crisis.
An Afghan delegation led by officials from the National Environmental Protection Agency is also participating in the forum and is expected to hold meetings with representatives of several countries and international organizations.
Talks are expected to include environmental projects, international assistance for climate-related challenges, and possible cooperation to help address Afghanistan’s housing and urban development needs.
During the forum’s general session on Monday, several world leaders called on the United Nations to strengthen efforts toward creating safe, sustainable and accessible cities around the world.
Speakers also urged developed nations to expand support for vulnerable countries dealing with climate change, rapid urbanization and housing shortages.
The World Urban Forum will continue through May 23, with a series of sessions dedicated to climate change, urban development and housing issues affecting vulnerable nations globally.
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