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SCO head raises concerns about regional security ‘spreading from Afghanistan’

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The head of the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO) counter-terrorism unit Evgeniy Sysoev raised concerns this week of what he said was a deteriorating situation in Afghanistan which could increase the risk of instability in the region.

Addressing a meeting in Tashkent on Wednesday, titled “Modern Security: Challenges and Solutions”, he said: “The worsening situation in Afghanistan increases the risk of instability in the entire region, especially in Central Asia.”

According to IRNA news agency, Sysoev said there is a possibility of instability spreading from Afghanistan to the countries of the Commonwealth of Nations (CIS) and the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (SCO).

He added: “The worsening socio-economic situation, the mass exodus of Afghans abroad, the growing ethnic conflicts, the increase in cross-border crimes and drug trafficking, multiply the risk of destabilizing the situation in Central Asia.”

This comes after India’s External Affairs Minister S Jaishankar said Tuesday the world should not forget the situation in Afghanistan, including the threat from terrorists operating on Afghan soil.

Meeting with his Russian counterpart Sergey Lavrov in Moscow, Jaishankar said: “It is legitimate that the international community, especially the neighbours, today work together to ensure that there is no terrorism threat that comes out of Afghanistan.”

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IEA ‘disappointed’ over Norway’s decision to reduce level of ties with Afghanistan

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The Foreign Ministry Spokesman Abdul Qahar Balkhi on Friday expressed disappointment regarding decision by the Kingdom of Norway to downgrade diplomatic relations with Afghanistan.

Balkhi said in a post on X that The Islamic Emirate hopes such decisions should not be linked with internal affairs of other countries.

“Diplomatic engagement is most effective when it fosters mutual understanding and respect, even amidst differing viewpoints,” he stated.

“Access to consular services is a fundamental right of all nationals. We strongly urge all parties to prioritize this principle in the spirit of international cooperation,” he added.

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Qatari and British officials discuss situation in Afghanistan

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Qatar’s Foreign Ministry said in a statement Thursday that Maryam bint Ali bin Nasser Al Misnad, Minister of State for International Cooperation, has met with British Special Representative for Afghanistan Andrew McCoubrey for talks on Afghanistan.

According to the statement, the need to strengthen bilateral cooperation in the fields of health, education and humanitarian and development projects in Afghanistan were discussed.

Qatari and British officials stressed that the meeting was testimony to the strategic commitment of the two countries in support of the people of Afghanistan.

Currently, most countries cooperate only in the humanitarian sector. Some regional countries have also forged diplomatic ties with Afghanistan.

Western countries however continue to keep their diplomatic distance.

Qatar in turn is considered as a diplomatic, economic and humanitarian supporter of Afghanistan and has hosted the Doha meeting three times.

But according to experts, these meetings have not delivered tangible results so far because the sanctions have not been lifted nor have officials of the Islamic Emirate been removed from the blacklist.

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Afghanistan’s economy shows modest growth but recovery remains fragile

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The Afghan economy is showing signs of moderate growth, but still faces significant challenges, including fiscal constraints, trade imbalances, and a limited capacity for public investment, the World Bank (WB) said Wednesday.

According to the organization’s latest Afghanistan Development Update, issued on Wednesday, “Afghanistan’s economic recovery remains uncertain”.

Modest GDP growth of 2.7%, driven by private consumption, has recouped only about 10% of past economic losses, indicative of the slow and fragile nature of the recovery, the WB said.

According to the organization, this level of growth has done little to address deeper structural issues and significant vulnerabilities within Afghanistan’s economy.

“Enabling women’s participation in the economy, strengthening domestic resource mobilization, maintaining price stability, and addressing critical deficits in human capital - particularly in education and healthcare, and especially for women - will be essential for long-term recovery and reducing vulnerability to future shocks,” the WB said in a statement.

Faris Hadad-Zervos, World Bank Country Director for Afghanistan said: “Afghanistan's long-term growth prospects depend on tapping into the substantial potential of the domestic private sector and improving the overall business environment.

“Key to this is increased investment, providing access to finance to small businesses, and supporting educated and skilled women entrepreneurs so their businesses can thrive. Without this, the country risks prolonged stagnation with limited prospects for sustainable development,” he said.

Meanwhile, the partial recovery, coupled with falling food prices, has contributed to a gradual improvement in household welfare.

But most Afghan households continue to struggle to meet basic needs and poverty remains widespread.

“Vulnerable groups, including women, children, and displaced populations, continue to bear the brunt of the economic hardship, due to the lack of social protection mechanisms,” the WB stated.

In addition, Afghanistan’s trade dynamics remain a significant challenge.

In 2023-24, the country’s exports remained stable, but imports surged, leading to a widening trade deficit, the WB reported.

The appreciation of the afghani (AFN) made imports cheaper, fueling demand for foreign goods, while domestic industrial activity revived, increasing the need for imported inputs.

However, the trade deficit, exacerbated by Afghanistan’s reliance on imports for essential goods like fuel, food, and machinery, might pose a risk to the country’s economic stability, the organization stated.

Meanwhile, Deputy Minister of Economy Abdul Latif Nazari said that Afghanistan's economy has a clear outlook and the current problems are caused by sanctions and the freezing of the country's foreign exchange reserves.

“Afghanistan's economic outlook is bright and hopeful. Some of the economic problems that exist are due to sanctions, banking restrictions and the freezing of assets of the Afghan people,” Nazari added.

“Our effort is to free the property of the people of Afghanistan as soon as possible and use it in line with the economic growth and development of the country.”

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