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Khalilzad warns of China’s growing grip on Central Asian minerals, urges swift US action
Former U.S. special envoy for Afghan peace talks, Zalmay Khalilzad, has issued a stark warning about China’s accelerating efforts to dominate Central Asia’s vast mineral wealth. He urged Washington—specifically the Trump administration—to act swiftly before Beijing consolidates its hold over the region’s critical resources.
“China’s push for hegemony in Central Asia is marching forward with its aggressive drive to control the region’s rich mineral resources,” Khalilzad posted on X. “We must contain China’s mineral expansionism.”
Khalilzad emphasized that countries including Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, Afghanistan, and Pakistan remain open to deeper mineral cooperation with the United States, but cautioned that time is running out.
“It is imperative that we decide—and soon—on plans for exploring opportunities with each of these countries, and perhaps regionwide. Our neglect will only help China,” he said.
China’s advance in the region
Under its Belt and Road Initiative (BRI), Beijing has emerged as the dominant economic actor in Central Asia, investing billions in infrastructure, energy, and mining projects. Chinese firms have secured major stakes in lithium, copper, uranium, gold, and rare earth deposits across Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, Kyrgyzstan, and Tajikistan.
These deals, often linked to infrastructure financing and soft loans, have effectively aligned regional economies with Chinese supply chains—particularly in sectors vital to the global clean energy transition.
Afghanistan: A high-stakes frontier
Afghanistan remains central to China’s long-term mineral strategy. The country’s estimated $1 trillion in untapped mineral wealth includes lithium, copper, rare earth minerals, and iron ore—resources critical for everything from electric vehicle batteries to defense technologies.
Since the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan (IEA) returned to power in 2021, China has maintained diplomatic engagement, kept its embassy in Kabul open, and signed agreements focused on mining and infrastructure cooperation.
However, the Stimson Center, a U.S.-based nonpartisan think tank, recently noted that despite China’s interest in Afghanistan, Beijing has maintained roughly the same level of investment stock since the IEA takeover. The organization suggests that China is pursuing a measured investment strategy, playing a long game amid ongoing uncertainty.
U.S. absence and strategic risk
While the U.S. once led resource mapping and infrastructure development in Afghanistan through USAID and the Pentagon, it now lacks direct engagement in the country’s mineral sector. Efforts such as the Minerals Security Partnership (MSP) and C5+1 diplomacy have yet to yield significant investments or a strategic presence.
Khalilzad’s warnings echo concerns from other U.S. officials. In January, Congressman Rob Wittman told the House Select Committee on China that Beijing was using below-cost price dumping on rare earths to undercut competitors and monopolize supply chains—a tactic designed to “drive out competition” and assert long-term control.
China’s dominance over Central Asian and Afghan mineral assets grants it growing leverage over global clean energy and technology supply chains, just as Western economies seek to reduce dependence on Chinese exports.
Despite heightened awareness in Washington, observers warn that a lack of cohesive and timely U.S. strategy may allow Beijing to further solidify its foothold.
Dr. Michael Kugelman, senior associate for South Asia at the Wilson Center, said in March: “The U.S. failure to establish a robust, long-term strategy in Afghanistan’s mining sector has left a vacuum that China is eager to fill. Beijing’s patient, strategic approach to securing mineral resources in Afghanistan illustrates Washington’s retreat from a critical arena of geopolitical competition.”
Highlighting Afghanistan’s mineral reserves as a centerpiece in global power dynamics, Marcena Hunter, director at Geneva-based Global Initiative Against Transnational Organized Crime, said: “In a world where access to these minerals is a matter of national security, there is a geopolitical race to secure control of critical mineral supply chains.”
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UN experts call for lasting ceasefire as Afghan–Pakistan violence escalates
United Nations human rights experts have called for an urgent and lasting ceasefire between Afghanistan and Pakistan following a sharp escalation in cross-Durand Line fighting that has caused widespread civilian suffering.
In a statement issued Tuesday, the experts warned that renewed hostilities since late February have resulted in at least 289 civilian casualties in Afghanistan, including 76 deaths and 213 injuries.
More than 115,000 people have reportedly been displaced, with extensive damage to homes, hospitals, markets, and displacement camps. The violence has also forced school closures and disrupted trade in affected regions.
The latest unrest follows the collapse of a ceasefire agreement reached in October 2025. Fighting reignited after Pakistani airstrikes targeted positions linked to Tehreek-e-Taliban Pakistan (TTP), prompting retaliatory attacks along the disputed Durand Line.
Concerns over civilian harm
UN experts strongly condemned a March 16 airstrike by Pakistan that struck a drug rehabilitation centre in Kabul, reportedly causing mass civilian casualties. They also raised concerns over attacks inside Pakistan attributed to TTP groups, which have also resulted in civilian harm.
“Both sides must commit to a permanent ceasefire, address the root causes of the conflict, and ensure accountability for violations of international law,” the experts said.
They emphasized the obligation of all parties to adhere to international human rights and humanitarian law, particularly the protection of civilians and civilian infrastructure. The experts also called for independent, transparent investigations into alleged violations.
Disputed claims and rising tensions
Pakistan has defended its military operations, saying they were carried out in response to alleged support by Afghan authorities for the TTP, a group under UN sanctions. Authorities in Afghanistan have rejected the claims denying any involvement.
UN experts noted that Pakistan has not publicly presented credible evidence linking TTP attacks directly to Afghan authorities.
They further stressed that under international law, states must not support or tolerate armed groups conducting cross-Durand Line attacks and must resolve disputes through peaceful means.
Calls for dialogue
The United Nations experts confirmed they have been in contact with officials from both countries, urging restraint, de-escalation, and a return to dialogue.
With tensions continuing to rise, they warned that ongoing violence risks further civilian casualties and deepening instability unless immediate steps are taken toward a sustainable peace agreement.
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Doyle returns to US after release by Islamic Emirate in Afghanistan
An American citizen, Dennis Coyle, arrived in the United States on Wednesday after being released by the Islamic Emirate in Afghanistan, marking a significant development amid ongoing diplomatic efforts between Washington and Kabul.
U.S. officials confirmed that Coyle arrived on American soil, landing at a major international airport in Texas, where he was met by close family members, including immediate relatives who had long campaigned for his release. Emotional scenes were reported as family members welcomed him home after an extended period in detention.
While authorities have not disclosed full details surrounding his release, officials indicated that quiet diplomatic engagement played a key role in securing his freedom. The case had drawn attention from human rights groups and policymakers, who had called for his release on humanitarian grounds.
Sources familiar with the situation said Coyle is expected to undergo medical evaluations following his return, a standard procedure for detainees released after prolonged confinement. Family members have requested privacy as he begins the process of reintegration.
Coyle’s release comes at a time of complex relations between the United States and the Islamic Emirate, with limited formal diplomatic ties but ongoing indirect engagement on humanitarian and security issues.
Analysts say the development could signal potential openings for further negotiations, particularly regarding other detainees still held in Afghanistan and abroad. It also follows renewed calls by families of other prisoners—including Afghan nationals held overseas—for similar humanitarian consideration.
U.S. officials have not confirmed whether additional releases are under discussion, but emphasized their continued commitment to securing the return of all American citizens detained abroad.
For now, Coyle’s return marks a positive development, offering hope to other families awaiting similar outcomes.
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Two civilians killed, eight injured in fresh shelling by Pakistan in Kunar
At least two civilians have been killed and eight others wounded following fresh shelling by Pakistan across the disputed Durand Line in Afghanistan’s Kunar province, local authorities said Wednesday.
Officials reported that over the past 24 hours, Pakistani forces fired approximately 85 rockets targeting residential areas across several districts, causing damage to civilian homes and heightening fears among local communities.
According to Zia-ur-Rahman Spin Ghar, head of information at the provincial Directorate of Information and Culture, the heaviest casualties were recorded in Nari district, where one civilian was killed and six others injured. In Sarkano district, another civilian lost their life, while two more people were wounded.
Additional rockets struck areas including Shultan, Marawara, and the outskirts of Asadabad. While no casualties were reported in those strikes, residents described widespread panic and property damage.
Escalating tensions
The latest incident comes amid a broader escalation in cross-Durand Line violence between Afghanistan and Pakistan in recent weeks. Residents in frontier provinces have repeatedly reported shelling, displacement, and disruption to daily life.
Spin Ghar also confirmed that Afghan forces responded with retaliatory strikes, claiming to have destroyed three Pakistani military outposts and killed one Pakistani soldier. There has been no immediate confirmation from Pakistani authorities.
Growing humanitarian concerns
The ongoing hostilities have raised concerns about civilian safety in these areas where communities often find themselves caught in the crossfire. Aid groups warn that continued shelling could lead to further displacement and strain already limited local resources.
With no clear signs of de-escalation, observers say urgent dialogue is needed to prevent further civilian casualties and stabilize the volatile region.
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