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Iran sends Russia hundreds of ballistic missiles

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Iran has provided Russia with a large number of powerful surface-to-surface ballistic missiles, six sources told Reuters, deepening the military cooperation between the two U.S.-sanctioned countries, Reuters reported.

Iran’s provision of around 400 missiles includes many from the Fateh-110 family of short-range ballistic weapons, such as the Zolfaghar, three Iranian sources said. This road-mobile missile is capable of striking targets at a distance of between 300 and 700 km (186 and 435 miles), experts say.

Iran’s defence ministry and the Revolutionary Guards – an elite force that oversees Iran’s ballistic missile programme – declined to comment. Russia’s defence ministry did not immediately respond to a request for comment.

The shipments began in early January after a deal was finalised in meetings late last year between Iranian and Russian military and security officials that took place in Tehran and Moscow, one of the Iranian sources said.

An Iranian military official – who, like the other sources, asked not to be identified because of the sensitivity of the information – said there had been at least four shipments of missiles and there would be more in the coming weeks. He declined to provide further details.

Another senior Iranian official said some of the missiles were sent to Russia by ship via the Caspian Sea, while others were transported by plane, read the report.

“There will be more shipments,” the second Iranian official said. “There is no reason to hide it. We are allowed to export weapons to any country that we wish to.”

U.N. Security Council restrictions on Iran’s export of some missiles, drones and other technologies expired in October. However, the United States and European Union retained sanctions on Iran’s ballistic missile programme amid concerns over exports of weapons to its proxies in the Middle East and to Russia.

A fourth source, familiar with the matter, confirmed that Russia had received a large number of missiles from Iran recently, without providing further details.

White House national security spokesperson John Kirby said in early January the United States was concerned that Russia was close to acquiring short-range ballistic weapons from Iran, in addition to missiles already sourced from North Korea.

A U.S. official told Reuters that Washington had seen evidence of talks actively advancing but no indication yet of deliveries having taken place.

The Pentagon did not immediately respond to a request for comment on the missile deliveries.

Ukraine’s top prosecutor said on Friday the ballistic missiles supplied by North Korea to Russia had proven unreliable on the battlefield, with only two of 24 hitting their targets. Moscow and Pyongyang have both denied that North Korea has provided Russia with munitions used in Ukraine.

By contrast, Jeffrey Lewis, an expert with the Middlebury Institute of International Studies at Monterey, said the Fateh-110 family of missiles and the Zolfaghar were precision weapons.

“They are used to point at things that are high value and need precise damage,” said Lewis, adding that 400 munitions could inflict considerable harm if used in Ukraine. He noted, however, that Russian bombardments were already “pretty brutal”.

A Ukrainian military source told Reuters that Kyiv had not registered any use of Iranian ballistic missiles by Russian forces in the conflict. The Ukrainian defence ministry did not immediately reply to Reuters’ request for comment.

Following the publication of this story, a spokesperson for Ukraine’s Air Force told national television that it had no official information on Russia obtaining such missiles. He said that ballistic missiles would pose a serious threat to Ukraine.

Former Ukrainian defence minister Andriy Zagorodnyuk said that Russia wanted to supplement its missile arsenal at a time when delays in approving a major package of U.S. military aid in Congress has left Ukraine short of ammunition and other material.

“The lack of U.S. support means shortages of ground-based air defence in Ukraine. So they want to accumulate a mass of rockets and break through Ukrainian air defence,” said Zagorodnyuk, who chairs the Kyiv-based Centre for Defence Strategies, a security think tank, and advises the government.

Kyiv has repeatedly asked Tehran to stop supplying Shahed drones to Russia, which have become a staple of Moscow’s long-range assaults on Ukrainian cities and infrastructure, alongside an array of missiles.

Ukraine’s air force said in December that Russia had launched 3,700 Shahed drones during the war, which can fly hundreds of kilometres and explode on impact. Ukrainians call them “mopeds” because of the distinctive sound of their engines; air defences down dozens of them each week.

Iran initially denied supplying drones to Russia but months later said it had provided a small number before Moscow launched the war on Ukraine in 2022.

“Those who accuse Iran of providing weapons to one of the sides in the Ukraine war are doing so for political purposes,” Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesperson Nasser Kanaani said on Monday, when asked about Tehran’s delivery of drones to Russia. “We have not given any drones to take part in that war.”

Rob Lee, a senior fellow at the Foreign Policy Research Institute, a Philadelphia-based think tank, said a supply of Fateh-100 and Zolfaghar missiles from Iran would hand Russia an even greater advantage on the battlefield.

“They could be used to strike military targets at operational depths, and ballistic missiles are more difficult for Ukrainian air defences to intercept,” Lee said.

Iran’s hardline clerical rulers have steadily sought to deepen ties with Russia and China, betting that would help Tehran to resist U.S. sanctions and to end its political isolation.

Defence cooperation between Iran and Russia has intensified since Moscow sent tens of thousands of troops into Ukraine in February 2022.

Russia’s Defence Minister Sergei Shoigu met the head of Iran’s Revolutionary Guards Aerospace Force, Amirali Hajizadeh, in Tehran in September, when Iran’s drones, missiles and air defence systems were displayed for him, Iranian state media reported.

And last month, Russia’s foreign ministry said it expected President Vladimir Putin and his Iranian counterpart Ebrahim Raisi to sign a broad new cooperation treaty soon, following talks in Moscow in December.

“This military partnership with Russia has shown the world Iran’s defence capabilities,” said the military official. “It does not mean we are taking sides with Russia in the Ukraine conflict.”

The stakes are high for Iran’s clerical rulers amid the war between Israel and Palestinian Islamist group Hamas that erupted after Oct. 7. They also face growing dissent at home over economic woes and social restrictions.

While Tehran tries to avoid a direct confrontation with Israel that could draw in the United States, its Axis of Resistance allies – including Hezbollah in Lebanon and the Houthis in Yemen – have attacked Israeli and U.S. targets.

A Western diplomat briefed on the matter confirmed the delivery of Iranian ballistic missiles to Russia in the recent weeks, without providing more details, Reuters reported.

He said Western nations were concerned that Russia’s reciprocal transfer of weapons to Iran could strengthen its position in any possible conflict with the United States and Israel.

Iran said in November it had finalised arrangements for Russia to provide it with Su-35 fighter jets, Mi-28 attack helicopters and Yak-130 pilot training aircraft.

Analyst Gregory Brew at Eurasia Group, a political risk consultancy, said Russia is an ally of convenience for Iran.

“The relationship is transactional: in exchange for drones, Iran expects more security cooperation and advanced weaponry, particularly modern aircraft,” he said.

Regional

Gas pipeline blown up in southern Pakistan, says official

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A natural gas pipeline was blown up in ​southern Pakistan on Monday, suspending supply ‌to several districts, an official said.

No one has claimed responsibility for the attack.

An ​18-inch-diameter main gas supply pipeline ​was blown up by unknown people ⁠on the outskirts of Quetta ​city, the capital of restive Balochistan ​province, a spokesman for Sui Southern Gas Company said, Reuters reported.

It ​suspended gas supply to several parts ​of the city and at least five ‌more ⁠districts, he said.

Separatist insurgents and militants operate in the region.

The separatists have long been fighting against the ​state, targeting the government ​and ⁠military, and blame the central government in Islamabad for ​depriving the locals of what they ​say ⁠is their due share in the region’s mineral-rich resources.

Engineers were working to ⁠repair ​the pipeline, the SSGC spokesman ​said.

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Tiny Persian Gulf oil hub at centre of high-stakes military calculations

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A small but strategically critical island in the Persian Gulf has emerged as a potential flashpoint in escalating tensions between the United States and Iran, with analysts warning that any attempt to seize it could have far-reaching economic and military consequences.

Kharg Island, which accounts for the vast majority of Iran’s oil exports, has reportedly been discussed within US policy circles as a possible target. The island, located about 26 km Iran’s coast near the Strait of Hormuz, plays a central role in the country’s energy trade and government revenue, Reuters reported.

According to reports, US President Donald Trump has deployed thousands of US troops to the Middle East, while leaving open the possibility of a ground operation. In recent remarks, he suggested that control of Iran’s oil infrastructure could form part of Washington’s strategy, even as diplomatic efforts are publicly emphasised.

Military analysts say that while US forces could potentially capture the island quickly, holding it would be significantly more difficult and could prolong the conflict.

Former US Central Command chief Joseph Votel noted that although a relatively small force might secure the island initially, sustaining operations would require extensive logistical support and expose troops to considerable risk.

Iran has reportedly reinforced defences on Kharg Island, deploying additional air defence systems and laying mines in surrounding waters. Officials in Tehran have also issued strong warnings, with senior figures threatening severe retaliation if US ground forces attempt to land.

Iran’s Speaker of Parliament Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf said recently Iran was prepared for such a scenario, accusing the US of signalling negotiations publicly while preparing for military escalation behind the scenes.

Regional allies have also expressed concern, cautioning that any ground invasion could trigger wider retaliation across the Gulf, potentially targeting energy infrastructure and civilian sites.

Despite speculation, the White House has maintained that no decision has been taken to deploy ground troops, stressing that all options remain under consideration.

Experts say however that seizing Kharg Island could effectively cut off Iran’s primary source of income, dealing a severe blow to its economy. However, they warn that such a move could also destabilise global energy markets and escalate the conflict further.

The situation is compounded by disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz, where shipping traffic has slowed significantly amid rising tensions. Analysts caution that prolonged disruption could have serious implications for global supply chains and oil prices.

While some policymakers view control of the island as a potential bargaining chip in future negotiations, others argue it could entrench a prolonged standoff, with Iran retaining control over production while the US controls export routes.

Energy and foreign policy experts warn that any attempt to seize the island would likely send shockwaves through global markets and risk drawing the region into a broader and more sustained conflict.

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Pakistan hosts regional powers for Iran talks, with focus on Hormuz proposals

Dar said all sides had expressed confidence in Pakistan’s ​role, adding that China “fully supports” the initiative.

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Pakistan hosted talks with Turkey, Egypt and Saudi Arabia on Sunday as part of its efforts to broker ‌an end to the Iran war, with initial discussions focused on proposals to reopen the Strait of Hormuz to shipping, sources familiar with the matter said.

At the end of the first day of talks in Islamabad, Pakistan’s Foreign Minister Ishaq Dar said foreign ministers from the regional powers had discussed “possible ways ​to bring an early and permanent end to the war in the region,” and had been briefed on potential U.S.-Iran ​talks in Islamabad, Reuters reported.

The talks were held as Iran warned the U.S. against launching a ground attack and global ⁠oil prices surged amid continued fighting between Iran, the U.S. and Israel.

The countries meeting in Pakistan have floated proposals to Washington ​tied to maritime traffic in the Gulf, five sources familiar with the matter told Reuters, as part of wider efforts to stabilise shipping ​flows.

The Strait of Hormuz was previously a conduit for about a fifth of global oil and liquefied natural gas supplies, but Iran has effectively halted shipping flows through it in response to the U.S. and Israeli air strikes that began a month ago.

Dar said all sides had expressed confidence in Pakistan’s ​role, adding that China “fully supports” the initiative.

Pakistan, which like Turkey borders Iran, has leveraged its close ties to ​both Tehran and Washington to emerge as a key diplomatic channel in the conflict, while Ankara and Cairo have also played a role.

A source from ‌Pakistan ⁠said proposals, including from Egypt, had been forwarded to the White House before Sunday’s meeting and that they included Suez Canal-style fee structures.

Two other Pakistani sources said Turkey, Egypt and Saudi Arabia could form a consortium to manage oil flows through the waterway, and had asked Pakistan to participate. The first Pakistani source said Islamabad had not been formally asked to join and maintains that it will ​not, read the report.

The proposal for a management consortium ​had been discussed with the ⁠U.S. and Iran, the sources said. The first Pakistani source said the country’s army chief Asim Munir had been in regular contact with U.S. Vice President JD Vance.

Egypt’s and Pakistan’s foreign ministries did ​not respond to a request for comment on the reported proposals. The Saudi government media office ​and the White ⁠House did not immediately reply to a comment request.

A Turkish diplomatic source said Ankara’s priority was securing a ceasefire.

“Ensuring the safe passage of ships could serve as an important confidence-building measure in this regard,” the source said, requesting anonymity.

Earlier on Sunday, Dar held separate one-on-one meetings with ⁠his Turkish ​and Egyptian counterparts, his office said.

He said in a post on X that ​Iran had agreed to allow 20 more Pakistani-flagged ships through the Strait of Hormuz.

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