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Pakistan-Afghanistan trade falls 12% in July

Pakistan’s exports to Afghanistan were recorded at $102 million, a sharp 28 percent decline from $142 million in June.

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Pakistan-Afghan trade volume fell by 12 percent on a month-on-month basis in July 2025, while year-on-year figures showed a marginal two percent decline, according to official data.

Total bilateral trade dropped to $138 million in July, compared to $158 million in June 2025. On a yearly comparison, trade slipped slightly from $141 million in July 2024.

Pakistan’s exports to Afghanistan were recorded at $102 million, a sharp 28 percent decline from $142 million in June.

Compared with July last year, exports eased by two percent from $104 million. Imports from Afghanistan, however, surged on a monthly basis, rising 129 percent from $16 million in June to $37 million in July. Year-on-year, imports dipped by 3 percent from $38 million in July 2024.

Sector-wise, several Pakistani exports to Afghanistan showed strong growth.

Cement exports rose 182 percent year-on-year to $10.46 million in July 2025, while fruit and vegetable shipments climbed 215 percent to $9.63 million.

Exports of animal or vegetable oils increased 203 percent, iron and steel 180 percent, and prepared animal fodder and oil cakes 575 percent. Paper and paperboard sales more than doubled, and rice exports rose 11 percent to $19.44 million.

In contrast, sugar exports fell to zero in July, while miscellaneous food items and motorcycles dropped 82 percent, malt extracts 62 percent, and pharmaceutical products 10 percent.

On the import side, Pakistan’s purchases of Afghan agricultural products rose significantly.

Imports of grapes surged 562 percent, tomatoes 212 percent, apricots 116 percent, and cucumbers nine percent year-on-year. However, cotton imports declined 61 percent, coal 25 percent, oilseeds 52 percent, and cereals 24 percent.

Despite July’s slowdown, bilateral trade between Pakistan and Afghanistan showed strong growth in the previous fiscal year.

In FY2024-25, trade volume reached $1.99 billion, a 25 percent increase from $1.60 billion in FY2023-24. Pakistan’s exports drove much of this growth, rising 31 percent to $1.39 billion, while imports from Afghanistan increased 13 percent to $607 million.

Among the standout performers was sugar, whose exports skyrocketed by over 4,300 percent to $262.77 million in FY2024-25 from just $5.93 million a year earlier.

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Afghanistan signs $67 million contract for cement production in Samangan

The Ministry of Mines and Petroleum said the plant will have a production capacity of 1,200 tons of cement per day.

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Afghanistan’s Ministry of Mines and Petroleum has signed a contract for the development of the Aibak Cement Project in Feroz Nakhchir district of Samangan province, marking a significant investment in the country’s industrial sector.

The agreement, valued at $67 million, was signed on Thursday between Hedayatullah Badri, Minister of Mines and Petroleum, and Aibak Cement Company, according to a statement issued by the ministry.

Under the terms of the contract, the company will pay a royalty of 200 Afghanis to the government for every ton of cement produced. The project has been awarded for a period of 30 years, subject to the company’s compliance with Afghanistan’s mining laws, regulations and contractual obligations.

Speaking at the signing ceremony, Badri said the project is expected to create employment opportunities for around 600 Afghans and contribute to the country’s economic development.

He added that the company has committed to investing approximately $1 million in social development initiatives during the contract period.

The Ministry of Mines and Petroleum said the plant will have a production capacity of 1,200 tons of cement per day.

The project is part of broader efforts to attract investment into Afghanistan’s mining and industrial industries and expand local production capacity.

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More central banks signal plans to increase gold holdings, WGC survey shows

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A record 45% of the reserve managers surveyed by the World Gold Council, up 2 percentage points from a year ago, expect to increase their ​own institutions’ gold holdings over the next 12 months, the international organization ‌said on Tuesday.

The majority — 54% of 74 central banks that responded to the WGC’s annual survey, conducted between February 5 and May 19 — said their holdings would remain unchanged, while 1% anticipated a ​decline, Reuters reported.

Most responses were received after the start of the Middle East conflict in ​late February, which triggered a rally in oil prices and drove gold ⁠prices down.

Central banks remain keen on gold, and the recent price fall has not ​changed their minds, said Shaokai Fan, head of the central banks sector at the ​WGC.

The U.S. and Iran agreed over the weekend on terms to end their war and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, prompting a 3% rise in gold prices on Monday.

Gold demand from central banks will ​slow down by 15% year-on-year in 2026 in tonnage terms, according to consultancy Metals Focus, ​but remain above pre-2022 levels, a consistently supportive factor for the market.

The WGC said 93% of ‌respondents ⁠reported already holding gold, up from 81% a year ago.

Among the drivers for gold ownership, a record 90% of respondents cited its performance during times of crisis. The top answers also included long-term store of value and portfolio diversification. Gold’s role as a ​geopolitical risk hedge was ​favoured among emerging ⁠market and developing economy respondents (85%).

As some central banks continued relocating their gold, 9% of respondents said they had increased domestic storage ​in the past 12 months, up from 5% last year, and ​10% said ⁠they had diversified their overseas storage locations, up from 2%.

Within 12 months, 7% plan to increase domestic storage and 9% plan to diversify overseas locations.

The WGC did not ask ⁠central banks ​to specify where their gold came from in ​cases of repatriation.

However, its research showed that the Bank of England remains the most popular vaulting location, followed ​by domestic storage and the Bank for International Settlements.

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Gold extends gains after US, Iran reach peace deal

The U.S. dollar fell to a 10-day low, making greenback-priced bullion cheaper for other currency holders, while oil prices slipped more than 4%.

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Gold rose more than 2% on Monday after U.S. and ‌Iran officials said they had reached an initial agreement to end their war, pushing oil prices lower and easing concerns about inflation and higher interest rates, Reuters reported.

Spot gold climbed 2.5% to $4,322.87 per ounce by 0312 GMT, hitting its highest level ​since June 9 and extending gains for a third straight session. U.S. gold futures for ​August delivery rose 2.5% to $4,344.80.

U.S. and Iranian officials said on Sunday they had agreed ⁠on a framework to end their war, halt the U.S. blockade of Iran and reopen the ​Strait of Hormuz.

The pact will be officially signed on Friday in Switzerland, Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif ​said in a post on X.

The U.S. dollar fell to a 10-day low, making greenback-priced bullion cheaper for other currency holders, while oil prices slipped more than 4%.

“Lower oil prices and a softer dollar, stemming from reduced geopolitical risk ​and the anticipated reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, are helping to calm inflation expectations,” said ​Tim Waterer, chief market analyst at KCM Trade.

“This combination is providing the precious metal with its best tailwind in ‌recent weeks, ⁠though sustainability will depend on how durable the peace agreement proves to be.”

Gold prices have fallen about 20% since the start of the U.S.-Israeli war against Iran in late February. The effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz has led to a sharp increase in global oil prices, stoking inflation concerns ​and raising expectations of ​interest rates staying higher ⁠for longer.

Bullion loses appeal in a high-interest-rate environment as it is a non-yielding asset.

Markets have scaled back expectations for a U.S. rate hike in December ​to 48% after the peace deal, down from 69% last week, according ​to the CME ⁠FedWatch tool. FEDWATCH

Investors now await the Federal Reserve policy decision and remarks, the first under Chair Kevin Warsh, on Wednesday, with rates widely expected to remain unchanged, read the report.

“Currency debasement concerns, fiscal risks and ongoing geopolitical fragmentation continue ⁠to underpin ​long-term demand (for gold). A moderation in energy-led inflation could help ​these themes regain traction,” OCBC said in a note.

Spot silver rose 3.6% to $70.39 per ounce, platinum gained 3.3% to $1,773.70 and palladium ​climbed 3.3% to $1,324.75.

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