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U.S. Abrupt Withdrawal from Afghanistan Will Bring ‘Unpleasant Consequences’

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Last Updated on: October 24, 2022

A number of civil society organizations and military experts have warned of Unpleasant Consequences if the United States abruptly withdraw from Afghanistan.

The U.S. and the Taliban officials engaged in at least five round of talks on Afghanistan to each into a political settlement in the war-torn country.

Withdrawal of the U.S. troops and preventing Afghanistan from being used against other countries have been the two key issues being discussed in the ongoing U.S.-Taliban talks in Qatar.  Both sides yet to reach into a final agreement.

Some Afghan military experts warned that Afghanistan condition will get worse if the U.S. abruptly leave Afghanistan.

“If foreign forces don’t properly equip the Afghan forces and leave Afghanistan, it will be harmful to Afghanistan,” said Mohammad a military expert and former government official.

The Taliban officials have repeatedly said that they will not rule Afghanistan alone this time and that will not re-impose the strict laws of pre-2001. 

However, civil society organizations said that there is no guarantee that the Taliban will turn the country back.

 “We don’t feel that the Taliban are honest in the peace process. They [the Taliban] are still not ready to lay down their arms and reconsider their activities,” said Mohammad Naim Nazari, head of Civil Society and Human Rights Network.

As the U.S.-Taliban talks continue in Doha, the Interior Ministry, meanwhile, said that the Afghan security forces are able to maintain the security and defend the country, in case of U.S. pullout.

He stressed the Afghan forces have taken the security responsibilities from the coalition forces since 2014 and that are shown the capability of defending the country.

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Hajj Pilgrims perform stoning ritual at Jamrat al-Aqaba in smooth operation

Over the decades, the Hajj pilgrimage has faced several major tragedies, largely linked to crowd crushes, extreme heat, and tent fires during peak rituals.

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Large numbers of Hajj pilgrims began performing the stoning ritual in Mina from the early hours of the first day of Eid al-Adha, casting seven pebbles at the largest pillar, Jamrat al-Aqaba, amid smooth and orderly movement in line with the approved crowd-management plan.

Pilgrims carried out the ritual in an organised manner across the levels of the Jamarat Bridge, with no overcrowding or pushing reported. Security, medical, ambulance, sanitation, and civil defence teams were fully deployed throughout the area, while security personnel regulated the flow of pilgrims at entrances, exits, and surrounding routes.

Movement toward the Jamarat Bridge and surrounding courtyards remained gradual and well-coordinated, with pilgrims travelling in managed groups distributed across different levels according to the operational plan.

After completing the ritual, they returned smoothly to their accommodation sites, while roads across Mina experienced steady and flexible traffic flow for both vehicles and pedestrians throughout the day.

Careful crowd control

Over the decades, the Hajj pilgrimage has faced several major tragedies, largely linked to crowd crushes, extreme heat, and tent fires during peak rituals. In response, Saudi authorities have invested heavily in expanding infrastructure and improving crowd-management systems to reduce risks and enhance pilgrim safety.

One of the deadliest incidents occurred in 1990, when 1,426 pilgrims died in a stampede inside a pedestrian tunnel in Mina due to overcrowding and ventilation failure.

In 2015, another major disaster struck during the stoning ritual at Jamarat, where at least 2,000 pilgrims were killed in a crowd crush, making it one of the worst incidents in Hajj history.

Extreme weather has also taken a heavy toll. During the 2024 Hajj season, more than 1,300 pilgrims reportedly died amid an intense heatwave, with temperatures exceeding 50°C, leading to widespread cases of heatstroke and dehydration.

Earlier disasters also prompted major safety reforms, including the Mina tent fires of 1975 and 1997.

The 1975 blaze, triggered by a gas cylinder explosion, killed around 200 people, while the 1997 fire claimed more than 340 lives.

Following these incidents, authorities replaced traditional tents with modern fire-resistant structures as part of broader safety upgrades.

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Mujahid calls for stronger Afghanistan-Russia relations during Moscow meeting

Mujahid also said Afghan security forces had made major gains against what he referred to as “seditionist networks,” stressing that security and stability had improved across the country.

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Mawlawi Mohammad Yaqoob Mujahid, Defense Minister of the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan (IEA), has emphasized the importance of expanding relations with Russia during a meeting with Sergei Shoigu, Secretary of Russia’s Security Council.

This meeting took place on the sidelines of an international security conference in Moscow.

According to details released from the meeting on Wednesday, the two sides discussed bilateral relations, regional security cooperation and the current situation in Afghanistan.

Mujahid described Afghanistan’s relationship with Russia as being of “special importance” and expressed hope that cooperation between the two countries would continue to grow broader, stronger and more comprehensive in the future.

He said Afghanistan continues to face economic and humanitarian challenges following what he described as two decades of U.S. occupation, but added that the Islamic Emirate has made significant progress across multiple sectors since returning to power.

The defense minister stated that the Islamic Emirate has strengthened nationwide security, implemented economic and administrative reforms and achieved political progress within a short period.

Mujahid also said Afghan security forces had made major gains against what he referred to as “seditionist networks,” stressing that security and stability had improved across the country.

The meeting comes amid increasing engagement between Kabul and Moscow, with both sides signaling interest in expanding political, economic and security cooperation.

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Afghanistan, Russia sign military cooperation agreement

The deal is expected to strengthen defense and security cooperation between the two countries.

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Afghanistan and Russia signed a military-technical cooperation agreement during the International Security Forum held this week in the Moscow region, marking another step in the expanding relationship between Kabul and Moscow.

The agreement was signed on May 27 on the sidelines of the forum, according to Russian media reports. While officials have not publicly disclosed the details of the document, the deal is expected to strengthen defense and security cooperation between the two countries.

The signing comes amid growing diplomatic engagement between the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan (IEA) and Russia. Afghan Defense Minister Mohammad Yaqoob recently told Russian Security Council Secretary Sergey Shoigu that bilateral cooperation between Kabul and Moscow had significantly expanded in recent months.

Earlier this month in Bishkek, Shoigu said Russia had established direct dialogue with the Islamic Emirate and was working toward what he described as a “full-fledged partnership” with Afghanistan’s current authorities. He also urged regional countries to broaden engagement with Kabul.

Relations between Afghanistan and Russia have steadily improved since the IEA returned to power in 2021. In April 2025, Russia’s Supreme Court suspended the longstanding ban on the Islamic Emirate’s activities in Russia, paving the way for deeper political, economic and security cooperation.

Moscow has increasingly positioned Afghanistan as an important regional partner as Russia seeks to strengthen its influence in Central and South Asia following major geopolitical shifts in the region.

The agreement was signed as Russia continues to expand its broader military posture. Russian lawmakers recently granted President Vladimir Putin greater authority to deploy troops abroad in cases involving the detention of Russian citizens overseas.

The Washington-based Institute for the Study of War has also reported that Russia is expanding its nuclear capabilities at what it described as the fastest pace since the Cold War.

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