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Islamic Emirate’s narcotics policy has ‘devastated’ livelihoods in rural areas: ICG
Farmers have lost an estimated $1.3 billion annually, or eight percent of GDP in 2023.
The International Crisis Group (ICG) has said the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan’s (IEA) anti-drug policies provide an opportunity to stabilize the country’s economy although it has “devastated livelihoods in rural areas”.
ICG, an international think-tank, said in a report published Thursday, titled ‘Trouble In Afghanistan’s Opium Fields: The Taliban War On Drugs’, that the Islamic Emirate’s ban has been “one of the most successful poppy elimination efforts in modern history.”
Late last year, the UN Office on Drugs and Crime said opium cultivation fell throughout the country to just 10,800 hectares in 2023 from 233,000 hectares the previous year, slashing supply by 95 percent following the Islamic Emirate’s ban on all cultivation of opium poppy in April 2022.
However, the report warns that as long as rural Afghans lack alternative livelihood opportunities, the likelihood of large-scale displacement and rising emigration will remain high.
The international think tank, known for policymaking advisories, said: “Making the narcotics policy (of the interim administration) sustainable and equitable will require a multilateral effort between Afghanistan and the outside world.”
“In the meantime, the Taliban (IEA) should adopt more lenient measures as it implements its eradication campaign to enable the poorest farmers and those most impacted by the ban to gradually transition away from the poppy as a cash crop,” ICG stated.
“The anti-drug initiative is in many foreign actors’ interest, creating opportunities for donors to support Afghanistan’s economic stabilization” – ICG
However, legal crops will not offer sufficient employment, so the focus should be on job creation in non-farm industries, the group suggested.
ICG also stated that the ban’s future is uncertain; although the Islamic Emirate is adamant about implementing it, “it could collapse under the weight of economic hardship.”
“Foreign donors, who have much to gain from reduced drug production in Afghanistan, should harness the Taliban’s (IEA) zeal for counter-narcotics and encourage licit economic growth. In the meantime, the Taliban should consider the welfare of the poorest farmers and implement a phased approach to the ban.”
By UN estimates, the halt to opium farming has affected the livelihoods of almost seven million people and while underworld kingpins and big landowners have thrived under the ban, reaping the benefits of skyrocketing prices by selling stockpiles, many farmers have suffered.
Farmers have lost an estimated $1.3 billion annually, or eight percent of GDP in 2023.
Farm work remains the biggest source of employment for Afghan women and the ban has hit them especially hard and the economic shock has been compounded by the Islamic Emirate’s limited capacity to offer farmers and rural workers alternatives.
“Many switched to cultivating wheat or cotton, but struggle to make ends meet. Development of licit agriculture would require more irrigation, cold storage facilities and better roads. The Taliban does not have the budget to develop such infrastructure.
“Meanwhile, the opium price has soared, tempting farmers to flout the ban,” ICG said.
“While the Taliban’s measures have shaken the drug sector to its very foundations, the future of the ban remains in doubt.
“Some experts predict that its economic impact will force the Taliban to backtrack on a signature policy. Of course, it is also possible that the Taliban leadership will remain stubborn and steadfast,” ICG stated.
The group stated that support could focus on rural development, agricultural support, water conservation and investments in agro-processing.
“But the reality is that a drug-free agricultural sector will not provide enough jobs, so the country needs a development plan focusing more broadly on non-farm employment, including for women.”
ICG stated that a full transition away from the dependence on narcotics as a cash crop will take time. Instead, the Islamic Emirate “should show a bit of leniency.”
“Adopting more lenient practices such as turning a blind eye to small garden plots of poppy and cannabis would give the poorest farmers a better chance of survival in the coming years. Farmers selling tiny amounts of opium for prices hundreds of times higher than what is paid for other crops would give them a lifeline without jeopardizing the ban’s overall objectives,” the report stated.
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Afghanistan records historic 95% drop in opium production: UNODC
Afghan authorities maintain that the cultivation, production, and trafficking of narcotics in the country have been reduced to near zero under current enforcement measures.
The United Nations Office on Drugs and Crime (UNODC) says Afghanistan’s anti-narcotics campaign has achieved a “historic record” following a 95% reduction in opium poppy cultivation over the past three years, while warning that the growing production of synthetic drugs is emerging as a major global concern.
In an interview with Ariana News, the UNODC representative in Afghanistan said the narcotics situation in the country has changed significantly since the 2022 ban on the cultivation and production of illicit drugs, with sustained reductions recorded between 2023 and 2025.
UNODC representative Polleak Ok Serei described the development as unprecedented, saying the 95% reduction in poppy cultivation represents a major global milestone.
“In the past three years — 2023, 2024, and 2025 — the 95% reduction in opium poppy cultivation has been maintained. This is a remarkable achievement and a truly historic record. Previous efforts lasted only one year,” he said. “This is not only important for Afghanistan, but for the entire world, as Afghanistan previously produced around 80% of the global illicit opium supply.”
He added that following these developments, UNODC has adjusted its programs, shifting greater focus toward alternative livelihoods for farmers who previously depended on poppy cultivation.
According to him, while these efforts have shown progress, they remain insufficient due to Afghanistan’s broader humanitarian, economic, and environmental challenges.
UNODC also warned that the shift from traditional narcotics to synthetic drugs is creating new challenges for health systems, requiring updated medical responses and treatment approaches.
“We have had to adapt our activities accordingly,” the UN official said. “We are focusing heavily on alternative livelihoods for farmers, because those previously dependent on this production need new sources of income. We also had to reassess health interventions, particularly due to the shift from traditional drugs to synthetic drugs, which requires different medical approaches.”
The UN agency stressed that drug trafficking is a transnational issue requiring coordinated international cooperation among law enforcement and judicial authorities.
“Drug trafficking is a cross-border phenomenon. There are traffickers operating not only inside Afghanistan but also outside the country. Therefore, international cooperation between police and judicial authorities is essential,” he said.
UNODC called on neighboring countries and the international community to increase cooperation and investment in long-term solutions, including rural livelihoods, addiction treatment, and dismantling trafficking networks.
The statement comes as UNODC’s World Drug Report 2026 highlights rapid changes in global drug markets, driven by technology, instability, and the emergence of new synthetic substances.
According to the report, global drug production and trafficking patterns are shifting significantly, particularly in the opioid market. While Afghanistan’s opium production has sharply declined since 2022, production increases in countries such as Myanmar have not fully offset global supply changes, leading traffickers to increasingly turn toward synthetic opioids such as fentanyl and other highly potent substances.
The report warns that these new synthetic drugs can be significantly more powerful and deadly than traditional narcotics, posing serious risks to public health and security worldwide.
UNODC also noted that rising global demand for drugs such as methamphetamine and cocaine is expanding trafficking routes into new regions, including Africa and Asia, further complicating international control efforts.
Meanwhile, Afghan authorities maintain that the cultivation, production, and trafficking of narcotics in the country have been reduced to near zero under current enforcement measures.
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Karzai marks Ashura, calls for unity and national progress
Former Afghan President Hamid Karzai has marked Ashura, the anniversary of the martyrdom of Imam Hussein, describing the occasion as a symbol of reform, sacrifice, and social responsibility.
In a message posted on X, Karzai said Imam Hussein stood against social injustice and deviation, calling on society to embrace reform and righteousness. He said the historic events of Karbala continue to inspire responsibility, courage, and awareness among Muslims.
Karzai added that the people of Afghanistan, like Muslims around the world, commemorate Ashura and regard love for the family of the Prophet Muhammad (PBUH) as a source of unity and brotherhood.
He also expressed hope that Afghans would use the spiritual significance of Ashura to strengthen national unity and work together for the country’s progress, prosperity, and advancement through education and knowledge.
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Afghanistan’s Interior Ministry reports major anti-narcotics operations over past year
Afghanistan’s Ministry of Interior Affairs says more than 11,000 operations were carried out against drug traffickers across the country over the past year, resulting in the arrest of over 13,000 individuals who were later referred to judicial authorities.
Marking International Day Against Drug Abuse and Illicit Trafficking in Kabul on Thursday, officials said that during more than 25,000 poppy eradication operations, over 21,000 jeribs of land were cleared of poppy cultivation.
The ministry added that more than 7,000 drug addicts were collected from different parts of the country during the past year, while security forces also seized more than 2,000 tons of narcotics.
According to official figures, the anti-narcotics measures carried out over the past year include:
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11,022 operations conducted against drug traffickers
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25,764 operations launched to destroy poppy fields
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7,844 drug addicts collected for treatment
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2,159 tons of narcotics confiscated
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13,326 individuals referred to courts
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21,569 jeribs of land cleared of poppy cultivation
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533 drug production factories destroyed
Currently, Afghanistan has 16 drug rehabilitation centers nationwide, with 12 already operational and four others in the process of becoming active.
According to officials from the Ministry of Interior Affairs Afghanistan, more than 13,000 people are currently undergoing treatment, while around 185,000 addicts have been collected for rehabilitation over the past several years.
The report comes as the Islamic Emirate highlights major progress in combating narcotics, an issue that had severely damaged Afghanistan’s reputation in previous administrations when the country was considered one of the world’s largest producers of illicit drugs.
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