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Over 5.2 million Afghans return from Iran, Pakistan in 2025; IFRC warns of growing crisis
According to the Afghan Red Crescent Society (ARCS), the highest daily influx of returnees from Pakistan was recorded in November.
More than 5.2 million Afghans have returned home from neighbouring Iran and Pakistan since the beginning of 2025, placing unprecedented strain on an already fragile humanitarian situation, the International Federation of Red Cross and Red Crescent Societies (IFRC) said in a new report.
According to IFRC, the massive wave of returnees and deportees between January and the end of November 2025 represents one of the largest population movements in Afghanistan’s recent history. Of the total, over 3.6 million Afghans returned from Iran alone, including at least 1.2 million who were forcibly deported.
The report noted that the bulk of returns began after April 1, reflecting intensified policy enforcement in host countries. Despite the onset of winter—traditionally a period of reduced movement—return numbers have remained high, particularly from Iran, indicating that protection concerns and policy pressures are outweighing seasonal constraints.
Returns from Pakistan
Citing data from the International Organization for Migration (IOM), IFRC said that between January 1 and November 30, 2025, an estimated 804,830 Afghans returned from Pakistan, with around 116,100—about 14 percent—deported.
Pakistan launched the second phase of its Illegal Foreigners Repatriation Plan (IFRP) in April 2025, targeting undocumented Afghans and holders of Afghan Citizen Cards. In July, the plan was expanded to include Proof of Registration card holders, and the end of the grace period on August 31 further heightened fear and uncertainty among Afghan communities.
According to the Afghan Red Crescent Society (ARCS), the highest daily influx of returnees from Pakistan was recorded in November. Most crossed through the Torkham crossing in Nangarhar and Spin Boldak in Kandahar, with smaller numbers entering through Angur Ada in Paktika and unofficial routes in Helmand.
Sustained Returns from Iran
IFRC reported that returns from Iran remained substantial throughout 2025, accounting for nearly 65 percent of all returnees recorded during the year. More than 1.8 million Afghans returned from Iran, arriving mainly through key border points such as Islam Qala and Milak–Zaranj.
The peak of returns occurred mid-year, driven by the expiry of temporary residency arrangements and intensified enforcement measures. Many returnees arrived with limited belongings, placing immediate pressure on reception facilities and essential services in border provinces.
Although daily crossings declined after the mid-year peak, IFRC said returns continued at scale through late 2025, compounding Afghanistan’s humanitarian needs.
Concerns in Tajikistan
The report also raised alarm over the situation in Tajikistan, where borders remain open only to Afghans holding valid passports and visas. At the same time, IFRC noted that arbitrary deportations—including of recognized refugees and asylum-seekers—have been reported, fueling anxiety and distress within Afghan communities.
IFRC warned that the surge in returns has placed severe pressure on host communities inside Afghanistan, many of which are struggling with poverty, limited shelter, food insecurity, and inadequate access to healthcare and protection services.
The organization urged sustained international support to address the growing humanitarian emergency and to ensure safe, dignified, and voluntary returns for Afghan migrants.
In December 2025, Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan said that 2.8 million Afghan migrants and citizens returned during the year. Their repatriation was efficiently managed, with essential services provided and residential settlements being distributed to support returnees.
These achievements underscore the IEA’s efforts to advance diplomacy, strengthen security, manage natural resources, support vulnerable communities, and facilitate the safe return of Afghan migrants.
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Russia ready to mediate Afghanistan-Pakistan conflict: Kabulov
Zamir Kabulov, Russia’s special envoy for Afghanistan, has called the recent clashes between Afghanistan and Pakistan “concerning” and stressed that the disputes should be resolved through dialogue and diplomacy.
In a meeting with Gul Hasan Hasan, the Ambassador of the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan in Moscow, Kabulov reiterated that Russia is prepared to act as a mediator if needed to help resolve tensions between the two countries, according to a statement issued Wednesday by the Afghan Embassy in Moscow.
The meeting also covered the state of bilateral relations between Afghanistan and Russia and ways to further develop cooperation.
The statement noted that Hasan briefed Kabulov on Pakistan’s violations of Afghan territory and outlined the official position of the Islamic Emirate.
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WFP warns of worsening humanitarian crisis as insecurity escalates in Afghanistan
Air and ground strikes have reportedly impacted more than 30 districts in Nangarhar, Nuristan, Kunar, Laghman, Paktika, Paktya, Khost, Kandahar and Helmand provinces.
The World Food Programme (WFP) has warned that escalating violence along Afghanistan’s eastern, southern and western borders is deepening an already severe humanitarian crisis, placing hundreds of thousands of vulnerable families at greater risk of hunger and displacement.
Speaking via video link from Bangkok at a press briefing in Geneva, WFP Afghanistan Representative and Country Director John Aylieff said renewed fighting along the disputed Durand Line frontier with Pakistan and ongoing violence in Iran are compounding years of conflict, economic collapse and natural disasters.
Afghanistan shares a roughly 2,400-kilometre frontier with Pakistan, affecting nearly one-third of its provinces. Since late February, intensified violence along the Durand Line has displaced an estimated 20,000 families across eastern, southeastern and southern regions.
Air and ground strikes have reportedly impacted more than 30 districts in Nangarhar, Nuristan, Kunar, Laghman, Paktika, Paktya, Khost, Kandahar and Helmand provinces.
As a result, WFP has temporarily suspended emergency food distributions, school feeding programmes, social protection initiatives and livelihood support activities in several affected areas. Approximately 160,000 people have been impacted by the suspension of emergency food assistance.
The renewed conflict has struck communities still recovering from the August 31 earthquake that devastated parts of eastern Afghanistan, particularly in mountainous Kunar and Nangarhar provinces. Many families who lost homes and livelihoods in that disaster now find themselves once again on the frontline of violence.
WFP noted that more than half of the affected districts were already facing emergency levels of hunger, while four of the impacted provinces are experiencing critical levels of acute child malnutrition.
On Afghanistan’s western border, ongoing instability in Iran is raising concerns about a new wave of returnees. Afghanistan recorded more than 2.5 million returns from Iran and Pakistan in 2025, and projections for 2026 had already anticipated similar numbers before the latest escalation.
Increased fighting could drive even higher returns, further straining limited resources.
WFP said it supported over half a million returnees at border crossings in 2025 with cash assistance, fortified biscuits and specialized nutrition support for women and children.
For many returnees, coming home means confronting unemployment, food shortages and renewed insecurity.
WFP shared the example of a father of four who returned from Iran after losing his factory job, only to find no work and insufficient food for his family in Afghanistan. Such cases underscore the growing vulnerability of returnees amid deteriorating conditions.
Funding shortfalls threaten aid response
Afghanistan remains one of the world’s most severe hunger crises, with 17.4 million people — roughly one in three Afghans — in urgent need of food assistance. An estimated 3.7 million children are projected to require treatment for acute malnutrition in 2026.
WFP warned that its emergency operations face a critical funding shortfall. By April 2026, funding for life-saving assistance is expected to run out unless additional support is secured.
The agency requires $313 million over the next six months to sustain operations.
With rising displacement, potential mass returns and ongoing conflict, WFP urged the international community not to scale back support at what it described as a pivotal moment for Afghanistan’s humanitarian response.
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Amir Khan Muttaqi, Zhao Xing discuss regional security and violations of Afghan territory
Respect for Afghanistan’s sovereignty and territorial integrity, he said, remains essential for fostering regional stability and building trust among neighboring states.
Afghanistan’s Foreign Minister Amir Khan Muttaqi met with Chinese Ambassador Zhao Xing in Kabul to review bilateral relations and address recent regional security developments, including what Afghan officials described as violations of Afghan sovereignty by Pakistan.
According to a statement issued after the meeting, the two sides discussed strengthening political and economic cooperation between Afghanistan and China, alongside broader concerns about escalating tensions in the region.
Muttaqi reiterated the Islamic Emirate’s foreign policy approach, describing it as balanced and focused on economic engagement. He emphasized that Afghanistan seeks constructive relations with all countries based on mutual respect, non-interference, and good neighborly ties.
Respect for Afghanistan’s sovereignty and territorial integrity, he said, remains essential for fostering regional stability and building trust among neighboring states.
The discussions reportedly included concerns raised by Afghan officials over incidents involving Pakistan along the disputed Durand Line, which Kabul has characterized as infringements on Afghan soil.
Zhao expressed concern over the evolving regional situation and reaffirmed that China views stability in Afghanistan and the broader region as a shared interest. He underscored Beijing’s support for resolving disputes through dialogue and diplomatic channels rather than escalation.
Zhao also noted that external forces sometimes attempt to disrupt regional stability and development, adding that countries in the region can counter such challenges through closer coordination and cooperation.
China and Afghanistan have maintained diplomatic engagement in recent years, with economic cooperation — particularly in trade, mining and infrastructure — forming a central pillar of their bilateral relationship.
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