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Afghanistan–Tajikistan trade grows by 31 percent

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New data from Tajikistan’s Statistics Agency shows a significant rise in trade volume between Afghanistan and Tajikistan in the first five months of 2025.

According to the report, bilateral trade reached nearly $40 million, marking a 31.1% increase compared to the same period in the previous year. During this time, Tajikistan exported approximately $32 million worth of goods to Afghanistan, while importing $8 million from its southern neighbor.

Tajikistan’s main exports to Afghanistan include electricity, construction materials, cement, coal, mineral fertilizers, and food products. Meanwhile, Afghanistan exports agricultural products such as figs, raisins, and cotton to Tajikistan, along with carpets and precious or semi-precious stones.

Despite strained political relations between the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan and the government of Tajikistan, economic cooperation between the two countries has continued. Tajikistan remains the only neighboring country that has not accepted IEA diplomats at the Afghan embassy in Dushanbe.

Nevertheless, officials from the Islamic Emirate have stated that dialogues are underway to improve political relations between Kabul and Dushanbe.

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Afghanistan signs $67 million contract for cement production in Samangan

The Ministry of Mines and Petroleum said the plant will have a production capacity of 1,200 tons of cement per day.

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Afghanistan’s Ministry of Mines and Petroleum has signed a contract for the development of the Aibak Cement Project in Feroz Nakhchir district of Samangan province, marking a significant investment in the country’s industrial sector.

The agreement, valued at $67 million, was signed on Thursday between Hedayatullah Badri, Minister of Mines and Petroleum, and Aibak Cement Company, according to a statement issued by the ministry.

Under the terms of the contract, the company will pay a royalty of 200 Afghanis to the government for every ton of cement produced. The project has been awarded for a period of 30 years, subject to the company’s compliance with Afghanistan’s mining laws, regulations and contractual obligations.

Speaking at the signing ceremony, Badri said the project is expected to create employment opportunities for around 600 Afghans and contribute to the country’s economic development.

He added that the company has committed to investing approximately $1 million in social development initiatives during the contract period.

The Ministry of Mines and Petroleum said the plant will have a production capacity of 1,200 tons of cement per day.

The project is part of broader efforts to attract investment into Afghanistan’s mining and industrial industries and expand local production capacity.

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More central banks signal plans to increase gold holdings, WGC survey shows

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A record 45% of the reserve managers surveyed by the World Gold Council, up 2 percentage points from a year ago, expect to increase their ​own institutions’ gold holdings over the next 12 months, the international organization ‌said on Tuesday.

The majority — 54% of 74 central banks that responded to the WGC’s annual survey, conducted between February 5 and May 19 — said their holdings would remain unchanged, while 1% anticipated a ​decline, Reuters reported.

Most responses were received after the start of the Middle East conflict in ​late February, which triggered a rally in oil prices and drove gold ⁠prices down.

Central banks remain keen on gold, and the recent price fall has not ​changed their minds, said Shaokai Fan, head of the central banks sector at the ​WGC.

The U.S. and Iran agreed over the weekend on terms to end their war and reopen the Strait of Hormuz, prompting a 3% rise in gold prices on Monday.

Gold demand from central banks will ​slow down by 15% year-on-year in 2026 in tonnage terms, according to consultancy Metals Focus, ​but remain above pre-2022 levels, a consistently supportive factor for the market.

The WGC said 93% of ‌respondents ⁠reported already holding gold, up from 81% a year ago.

Among the drivers for gold ownership, a record 90% of respondents cited its performance during times of crisis. The top answers also included long-term store of value and portfolio diversification. Gold’s role as a ​geopolitical risk hedge was ​favoured among emerging ⁠market and developing economy respondents (85%).

As some central banks continued relocating their gold, 9% of respondents said they had increased domestic storage ​in the past 12 months, up from 5% last year, and ​10% said ⁠they had diversified their overseas storage locations, up from 2%.

Within 12 months, 7% plan to increase domestic storage and 9% plan to diversify overseas locations.

The WGC did not ask ⁠central banks ​to specify where their gold came from in ​cases of repatriation.

However, its research showed that the Bank of England remains the most popular vaulting location, followed ​by domestic storage and the Bank for International Settlements.

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Gold extends gains after US, Iran reach peace deal

The U.S. dollar fell to a 10-day low, making greenback-priced bullion cheaper for other currency holders, while oil prices slipped more than 4%.

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Gold rose more than 2% on Monday after U.S. and ‌Iran officials said they had reached an initial agreement to end their war, pushing oil prices lower and easing concerns about inflation and higher interest rates, Reuters reported.

Spot gold climbed 2.5% to $4,322.87 per ounce by 0312 GMT, hitting its highest level ​since June 9 and extending gains for a third straight session. U.S. gold futures for ​August delivery rose 2.5% to $4,344.80.

U.S. and Iranian officials said on Sunday they had agreed ⁠on a framework to end their war, halt the U.S. blockade of Iran and reopen the ​Strait of Hormuz.

The pact will be officially signed on Friday in Switzerland, Pakistani Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif ​said in a post on X.

The U.S. dollar fell to a 10-day low, making greenback-priced bullion cheaper for other currency holders, while oil prices slipped more than 4%.

“Lower oil prices and a softer dollar, stemming from reduced geopolitical risk ​and the anticipated reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, are helping to calm inflation expectations,” said ​Tim Waterer, chief market analyst at KCM Trade.

“This combination is providing the precious metal with its best tailwind in ‌recent weeks, ⁠though sustainability will depend on how durable the peace agreement proves to be.”

Gold prices have fallen about 20% since the start of the U.S.-Israeli war against Iran in late February. The effective closure of the Strait of Hormuz has led to a sharp increase in global oil prices, stoking inflation concerns ​and raising expectations of ​interest rates staying higher ⁠for longer.

Bullion loses appeal in a high-interest-rate environment as it is a non-yielding asset.

Markets have scaled back expectations for a U.S. rate hike in December ​to 48% after the peace deal, down from 69% last week, according ​to the CME ⁠FedWatch tool. FEDWATCH

Investors now await the Federal Reserve policy decision and remarks, the first under Chair Kevin Warsh, on Wednesday, with rates widely expected to remain unchanged, read the report.

“Currency debasement concerns, fiscal risks and ongoing geopolitical fragmentation continue ⁠to underpin ​long-term demand (for gold). A moderation in energy-led inflation could help ​these themes regain traction,” OCBC said in a note.

Spot silver rose 3.6% to $70.39 per ounce, platinum gained 3.3% to $1,773.70 and palladium ​climbed 3.3% to $1,324.75.

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