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UN warns mass return of Afghans from Pakistan and Iran is pushing Afghanistan to the brink
The mass return of Afghans from neighboring Pakistan and Iran is pushing Afghanistan to the brink, the U.N. refugee agency warned on Friday, citing an unprecedented scale of population movement.
According to UNHCR’s representative in Afghanistan, Arafat Jamal, 5.4 million Afghans have returned since October 2023, the vast majority from Pakistan and Iran. Speaking to reporters in Geneva via video link from Kabul, he said the pace of returns is overwhelming.
“This is massive, and the speed and scale of these returns has pushed Afghanistan nearly to the brink,” Jamal said.
The surge began after Pakistan introduced a sweeping crackdown in October 2023 targeting undocumented migrants, prompting many Afghans to leave voluntarily or face detention and deportation. Iran also tightened measures against migrants at roughly the same time.
Many of those returning had spent decades in exile — some born and raised in Pakistan with established businesses and family networks.
Last year alone, 2.9 million Afghans returned, marking the highest annual return to any single country ever recorded by UNHCR.
Jamal noted that Afghanistan was already grappling with a severe humanitarian crisis, economic fragility, and restrictions affecting women and girls. The sudden arrival of returnees — equal to about 12% of the population — has further strained services and resources. About 150,000 people have returned since the start of 2026.
Afghan authorities distribute basic assistance packages — including food, cash, SIM cards, and transport — but needs far exceed available support, particularly in a country still reeling from drought and two major earthquakes.
A November assessment by the UN Development Programme (UNDP) found that nine in ten families in high-return areas were resorting to negative coping mechanisms such as skipping meals, taking on debt, or selling their belongings.
Jamal also voiced concern about long-term sustainability, noting that while 5% of returnees say they plan to leave Afghanistan again, more than 10% know someone who already has.
“These decisions, I would underscore, to undertake dangerous journeys, are not driven by a lack of a desire to remain in the country, on the contrary, but the reality that many are unable to rebuild their viable and dignified lives,” he said.
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Saar: Deporting Afghan refugees from Germany discussed
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MSF urges Pakistan to halt forced returns of Afghan refugees
The medical charity said refugees have reported delaying or foregoing essential treatment because they fear documentation checks at healthcare facilities, leading to preventable health complications,
Médecins Sans Frontières (MSF), also known as Doctors Without Borders, has called on Pakistan to immediately halt the forced return of Afghan refugees and introduce humanitarian exemptions for those in need of international protection, warning that ongoing deportations are worsening an already fragile humanitarian situation.
In a statement released on Tuesday, MSF said Pakistan’s Illegal Foreigners Repatriation Plan (IFRP) has significantly restricted Afghan refugees’ access to healthcare, with many avoiding hospitals and clinics due to fears of arrest and deportation.
The medical charity said refugees have reported delaying or foregoing essential treatment because they fear documentation checks at healthcare facilities, leading to preventable health complications,
including severe child malnutrition and pregnancy-related emergencies.
MSF cited the case of an Afghan refugee identified as Najib, who said he was arrested during a police raid despite carrying a valid Proof of Registration (PoR) card. According to the organization, the incident caused severe emotional distress for his pregnant wife, who later suffered a miscarriage after delaying medical treatment because the family feared further arrests.
The organization also warned that the deportation campaign has disrupted refugees’ livelihoods, leaving many families without income while living under constant uncertainty and the threat of removal.
MSF said its mobile clinics in Quetta, Balochistan, recorded alarming levels of acute malnutrition among Afghan refugee children earlier this year. Of the children screened, 33.3 percent were found to be suffering from global acute malnutrition, including 7.6 percent with severe acute malnutrition and 25.7 percent with moderate acute malnutrition.
Nearly 90 percent of the malnourished patients treated were Afghan refugees, the majority of them women and children.
Pakistan launched the IFRP in November 2023, initially targeting undocumented Afghan nationals before expanding the policy to include holders of Afghan Citizen Cards (ACC) and Proof of Registration (PoR) cards. On July 10, authorities ordered the immediate arrest and accelerated deportation of Afghan nationals without valid visas.
Quoting figures from the UN Refugee Agency (UNHCR), MSF said more than 2.5 million Afghans have returned from Pakistan under the repatriation plan, many of them involuntarily.
The organization added that the United Nations has identified more than 70,000 Afghan refugees who could face serious risks if returned to Afghanistan.
MSF warned that Afghanistan’s healthcare system is struggling to cope with the return of an estimated six million Afghans from Pakistan and Iran between 2023 and 2026. Reduced international aid, economic hardship and limited healthcare services are placing additional strain on returnees and host communities, it said.
Assessments conducted by MSF in informal returnee settlements in Kandahar found inadequate access to healthcare, poor shelter conditions, widespread undernutrition and insufficient sanitation, increasing the risk of disease outbreaks.
Marko den Hartogh, MSF’s Head of Mission in Pakistan, urged Islamabad to uphold its long-standing support for Afghan refugees by establishing formal protection mechanisms for those most at risk.
“This must include women and girls, children, the elderly, people with disabilities, those needing urgent or long-term medical care, refugees awaiting resettlement, and others at heightened risk of marginalization, discrimination, or persecution,” he said.
MSF also called on all countries hosting Afghan refugees to suspend involuntary returns and ensure that any repatriation is voluntary, safe, dignified and carried out in accordance with international humanitarian obligations.
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Germany deports first Afghan without criminal record since 2021, Reuters reports
Germany resumed deportations to Afghanistan in 2024 despite continued debate over the safety of returnees following the political changes in the country in 2021.
Germany has deported an Afghan national without a criminal record for the first time since the Islamic Emirate returned to power in Afghanistan in 2021, Reuters reported, citing German Interior Minister Alexander Dobrindt.
According to Dobrindt, the man became eligible for deportation after exhausting all legal avenues in his asylum case. He had previously attempted to settle in another European country but was found to be residing there illegally. After being transferred back to Germany under European migration procedures, he was deported to Afghanistan.
Reuters reported that the individual was among 31 Afghan men returned to Afghanistan on a deportation flight on Tuesday. The remaining 30 deportees had been convicted of criminal offenses, according to German authorities.
Germany resumed deportations to Afghanistan in 2024 despite continued debate over the safety of returnees following the political changes in the country in 2021.
Human rights organizations have repeatedly raised concerns over the policy. Reuters, citing Amnesty International, reported that Germany has deported more than 200 Afghans since the deportation program resumed in 2024, and that at least one deportee was later killed after returning to Afghanistan.
The deportations continue to draw criticism from rights groups, which have urged European governments to consider the humanitarian and human rights implications of returning asylum seekers to Afghanistan.
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