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Unprecedented surge in US aerial refueling tankers cross Atlantic amid Middle East tensions

The aircraft flew at altitudes and in formations consistent with strategic deployment, rather than routine training or ferry missions.

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A large and unusual movement of United States Air Force aerial refueling aircraft crossing the Atlantic on Sunday night has drawn heightened attention from military analysts, as tensions continue to simmer in the Middle East.

Observers tracked over two dozen American tanker aircraft — including KC-135 Stratotankers and KC-46 Pegasus tankers — flying eastbound in what appeared to be a coordinated transit from North America, the UK Defense Journal reported Monday.

The aircraft flew at altitudes and in formations consistent with strategic deployment, rather than routine training or ferry missions.

The scale and timing of the deployment has prompted speculation among defense experts, particularly because no major multinational exercises, such as Atlantic Trident, are currently scheduled.

The absence of such exercises has led many to conclude that the tankers are being pre-positioned to support potential military operations or contingency plans.

Although the final destinations of the aircraft remain unconfirmed, several flight paths suggest the tankers were en route to Europe or US and NATO bases in the Middle East.

This region has seen a sharp rise in military activity, with the US already reinforcing its presence by deploying AEGIS-equipped destroyers and THAAD missile defense systems in support of Israel, UKDJ reported.

The deployment of so many refueling aircraft significantly enhances the operational reach of U.S. airpower, enabling fighter jets, bombers, and ISR (intelligence, surveillance, reconnaissance) aircraft to operate at greater distances for longer durations. This could be a vital asset in any extended or rapid-strike campaign.

Strategic Role of Aerial Refueling

Aerial refueling is a cornerstone of American global force projection. The KC-135 and KC-46 tankers are capable of transferring tens of thousands of pounds of fuel mid-air, supporting a wide range of aircraft — from F-35 and F-15 fighters to B-52 and B-2 bombers, surveillance planes, and even other tankers in complex relay operations.

Though no accompanying strike aircraft were publicly visible on tracking platforms, analysts caution that operational aircraft could be flying without transponders or have taken different routes to avoid detection.

No Official Comment, But Signals Readiness

The U.S. Department of Defense has not issued any statement regarding the deployment. However, the scale of the movement — combined with current geopolitical dynamics — suggests a state of elevated operational readiness. Whether the tanker surge is part of a broader deterrent posture, a routine rotation under classified parameters, or preparation for imminent operations, remains unclear.

What is certain, however, is that this type of high-volume tanker mobilization is rare — and typically reserved for moments requiring significant strategic flexibility, the UKDJ reported adding that the coming days may reveal whether this movement marks the prelude to intensified military activity, or a calculated show of capability and preparedness.

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Russia denies mediating Pakistan’s ties with India and Afghanistan

The comments were issued in written responses ahead of Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov’s annual press conference, after questions could not be addressed due to time constraints.

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Russia has said it is not acting as a mediator in Pakistan’s relations with India and Afghanistan, but is willing to offer assistance if asked.

In remarks published by the Foreign Ministry, Moscow said disputes should be resolved bilaterally, in line with the 1972 Simla Agreement and the 1999 Lahore Declaration.

The comments were issued in written responses ahead of Foreign Minister Sergei Lavrov’s annual press conference, after questions could not be addressed due to time constraints.

On relations with Pakistan, Russia said political contacts intensified in 2025, including a meeting between President Vladimir Putin and Prime Minister Shehbaz Sharif at the Shanghai Cooperation Organisation summit in China.

Moscow highlighted growing economic cooperation, citing projects such as reviving the Karachi steel plant, collaboration in pharmaceuticals including insulin production, trial freight routes under the International North-South Transport Corridor, and potential Russian involvement in Pakistan’s oil and gas sector. A bilateral trade and economic cooperation programme through 2030 is also expected to be adopted.

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UNDP warns Afghanistan’s new development strategy faces major risks

The plan targets 3–5 percent annual economic growth, a 10 percent rise in exports, $5 billion in foreign investment by 2030, and expanded infrastructure, energy and extractive industries.

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The UN Development Programme (UNDP) has warned that Afghanistan’s newly launched National Development Strategy (ANDS 2025–2030) is unlikely to achieve its goals unless deep structural challenges are urgently addressed.

In an analysis of the first national development plan introduced since the Islamic Emirate of Afghanistan (IEA) returned to power in 2021, UNDP said the strategy provides an important framework for allocating scarce domestic resources in the absence of international aid.

The plan targets 3–5 percent annual economic growth, a 10 percent rise in exports, $5 billion in foreign investment by 2030, and expanded infrastructure, energy and extractive industries.

However, UNDP cautioned that overlapping crises—including lack of international recognition, a severe humanitarian situation, mass returnees and climate shocks—pose serious risks to implementation.

The agency highlighted two critical constraints: restrictions on women and energy shortages.

It noted that bans on girls’ education and limits on women’s work and mobility have slashed female economic participation, making growth and shared prosperity unattainable.

It also warned that acute energy insecurity—current electricity supply is just 0.7 gigawatts against demand of five—continues to undermine industrial development.

UNDP concluded that without reversing restrictions on women and closing the energy gap, the strategy is likely to remain aspirational rather than transformative.

The IEA meanwhile has not yet commented on this report.

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UNSC poised to extend mandate of Afghanistan sanctions monitoring team

According to the report, the current mandate of the Monitoring Team is set to expire on February 17.

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The United Nations Security Council has reported that it is expected to vote later this month on a draft resolution to extend the mandate of the Analytical Support and Sanctions Monitoring Team, which assists the 1988 Afghanistan Sanctions Committee.

According to the report, the current mandate of the Monitoring Team is set to expire on February 17.

The 1988 Sanctions Committee is responsible for enforcing measures including an assets freeze, travel bans, and an arms embargo against individuals and groups associated with the Islamic Emirate.

The committee also manages the sanctions list, reviews exemption requests, and supports UN member states in implementing the sanctions regime through the Monitoring Team’s assessments, reports, and recommendations.

The anticipated vote comes as the Security Council continues to review the effectiveness and scope of international sanctions related to Afghanistan.

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