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Middle East conflict intensifies; UK base in Cyprus targeted

The Cyprus attack came amid a broader wave of Iranian retaliatory strikes targeting U.S. and allied military assets following joint U.S.–Israeli operations against Iranian strategic sites.

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The Middle East conflict sharply intensified Monday as hostilities between the United States, Israel and Iran expanded across the region, drawing in Gulf states and disrupting civil aviation networks from Qatar to Cyprus.

Drone strike hits UK base in Cyprus

A suspected Iranian-made drone struck the British Royal Air Force base at Akrotiri, Cyprus, overnight, causing limited damage to a runway but no reported casualties. The incident — the first attack on the base in decades — alarmed both British and Cypriot authorities, prompting heightened security measures.

Officials stressed that Cyprus is not a direct combatant in the conflict, but the strike underscores how far the fighting has spread beyond its original flashpoints.

The attack came amid a broader wave of Iranian retaliatory strikes targeting U.S. and allied military assets following joint U.S.–Israeli operations against Iranian strategic sites.

U.S. aircraft downed in Kuwait

In Kuwait, multiple U.S. military aircraft were reported downed during continued Iranian missile and drone attacks. Kuwaiti authorities confirmed crashes within their territory and said all crew members were rescued and are in stable condition.

Air defense systems across Kuwait remained active for a third consecutive day as missiles and drones were intercepted over key military and diplomatic areas. Emergency services responded to debris impacts, with minor injuries reported.

The incidents mark one of the most dangerous escalations in U.S.–Iran tensions in decades, with both sides engaging in sustained operations.

Doha Airport disrupted

The conflict has also thrown regional air travel into chaos. Hamad International Airport in Doha — one of the world’s busiest transit hubs — was forced to suspend operations temporarily after missile alerts and security threats were reported over Qatari airspace.

Qatar closed its airspace as a precautionary measure, and major carriers suspended or rerouted flights. Thousands of passengers have been stranded as airlines scramble to adjust schedules amid rapidly changing security conditions.

Airspace across parts of the Gulf region has thinned dramatically, with commercial traffic diverted away from potential conflict zones.

Dubai targeted

In the United Arab Emirates, particularly in Dubai, the impact of the widening regional conflict has become increasingly visible.

Missile interception activity has been reported in the skies, with loud explosions heard across parts of the city as air defense systems responded to incoming threats. Authorities temporarily closed national airspace as a precaution, leading to significant disruption at Dubai International Airport and other major transit hubs.

Several commercial flights were suspended or diverted, leaving thousands of passengers stranded while emergency services responded to falling debris in some areas. Officials confirmed casualties following recent strikes. The government has urged residents to remain calm while security forces continue defensive operations to protect key infrastructure and population centers.

Iran: Retaliation and heightened military mobilization

Inside Iran, the country remains on high alert following large-scale strikes on strategic and military sites. Explosions have been reported in and around major cities, including Tehran, as air defenses remain active amid continued military operations.

Iran’s leadership has vowed strong retaliation, launching waves of missile and drone attacks targeting U.S. and allied military positions across the region.

Military mobilization has intensified, with Revolutionary Guard units placed on maximum readiness. The domestic atmosphere is tense, with state media framing the conflict as a decisive confrontation while authorities work to maintain internal stability.

Israel: State of emergency and continued strikes

In Israel, a nationwide state of emergency remains in effect as the military carries out sustained operations against Iranian-linked targets. Air raid sirens have sounded in multiple cities as missile and drone threats persist, with Israel’s air defense systems intercepting incoming projectiles.

The Israeli military has mobilized reservists and expanded strikes beyond immediate border areas, signaling preparations for a prolonged confrontation.

Officials have warned that operations will continue until security threats are neutralized, raising concerns about further escalation.

Lebanon: Hezbollah engagement and border escalation

On the Lebanon front, tensions have escalated sharply as Hezbollah launched rocket and missile fire toward northern Israel. The attacks mark a significant intensification along the border.

In response, Israeli forces conducted airstrikes in southern Lebanon and areas near Beirut, targeting what they describe as militant infrastructure.

Casualties have been reported, and fears are growing that Lebanon could be drawn deeper into the regional war. Political leaders in Beirut have called for restraint, but cross-border exchanges continue, keeping the frontier on edge.

Wider regional impact

The latest escalation follows coordinated U.S. and Israeli strikes on Iranian targets, triggering this multi-front Iranian response that has extended across the Gulf and into the eastern Mediterranean.

The widening confrontation has raised fears of a prolonged regional war with significant economic and humanitarian consequences.

Global markets meanwhile have reacted nervously, while governments continue urgent diplomatic efforts aimed at preventing further escalation.

 

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Iran threatens to hit Gulf states if US launches new strikes

On August 2, Trump said he agreed to cancel the attack on Iran “subject to being able to rapidly make a deal”.

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Iran has warned Gulf states that any new U.S. attack on its territory would trigger retaliation against critical energy infrastructure across the ​region, according to five sources, as Tehran seeks to raise the cost of military action by threatening Washington’s closest regional allies, Reuters reported.

The warning was delivered through a flurry of ‌high-level diplomatic contacts after President Donald Trump threatened on July 28 to strike Iran’s energy network and infrastructure, the sources said.

Two senior Iranian officials, two Gulf sources and a senior regional diplomat with knowledge of the discussions said Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi spoke with his Saudi, Turkish and Qatari counterparts, as well as Pakistan’s army chief. All spoke on condition of anonymity because of the sensitivity of the matter.

Araqchi urged Washington’s Gulf allies to use their influence ​with Trump to dissuade him from launching renewed strikes, the senior diplomat said, warning that any attack on Iran would prompt retaliation against U.S. assets and energy facilities across the ​Gulf.

His message was consistent in every conversation, the diplomat said: “We’re ready to retaliate, but finding a diplomatic solution is the best way to avoid wider ⁠escalation and destruction across the region.”

“The Iranian warning was unequivocal: if America targeted Iran’s infrastructure, they would retaliate by striking Gulf energy facilities and other regional targets,” one Gulf source said.

The diplomatic ​maneuvering underscores how Iran is attempting to use the threat of wider regional destruction as leverage against further U.S. strikes, putting Gulf states that host U.S. military bases and depend on energy exports in ​a difficult position between Washington and Tehran.

Saudi Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman subsequently spoke with Trump, urging him to delay military action, return to negotiations, secure a ceasefire and pursue a diplomatic settlement, the senior diplomat and Gulf sources said.

The warning was intended for every Gulf state, another Gulf source said, but was conveyed primarily through Saudi Arabia and Qatar. Iran has in recent years repaired ties with its Gulf neighbours, including former regional rival Saudi ​Arabia.

Qatar, Oman and Saudi Arabia have all urged Washington to resume talks with Tehran and avert renewed conflict amid Iranian warnings that another round of U.S. strikes could “turn the region into a fireball”, ​the second Iranian official said.

On August 2, Trump said he agreed to cancel the attack on Iran “subject to being able to rapidly make a deal”.

“Saudi Arabia believes further escalation will only ‌bring more destruction,” ⁠the first Gulf source said. “That is why it urged Trump to give diplomacy a chance.”

While urging Washington to pursue diplomacy, Riyadh also made clear it would defend itself if threatened. The second Gulf source said Saudi Arabia warned that any attack on its territory would be met with a military response.

Ali Shihabi, a Saudi analyst close to the Royal Court, said the kingdom’s assessment is that further escalation is unlikely to achieve the desired result. “The Kingdom believes a combination of proportionate military responses and sustained pressure on Iran in the Strait of Hormuz offers the strongest path toward a practical diplomatic ​settlement,” Shihabi said.

Iran’s clerical leadership has repeatedly demanded ​the closure of U.S. military bases in the ⁠Gulf and called on Gulf Arab states to stop sharing intelligence with Washington, which Tehran believes has been used to facilitate attacks against it.

According to one Iranian official, Tehran’s warning made clear that any new U.S. strike would be met with attacks on energy facilities, refineries, electricity grids, water infrastructure, ​transport networks and oil fields across the Gulf.

“The enemy continues to threaten Iranian infrastructure. If Iran suffers damage, it will inflict far greater ​damage in return,” the official ⁠said.

“They still remember Saudi Arabia’s Aramco,” he added, referring to the September 2019 drone and missile attacks on the Abqaiq and Khurais facilities that temporarily knocked out more than half the kingdom’s crude oil production and exposed the vulnerability of Gulf energy infrastructure.

By threatening infrastructure critical to Gulf economies, Tehran is seeking to convince both Washington and its Arab partners that another attack on Iran would carry unacceptable economic and strategic consequences, ⁠encouraging regional ​states to press Trump to avoid renewed military action.

From Tehran’s perspective, Trump now faces two unpalatable choices, the senior Iranian ​official said: escalate a conflict that could engulf the Gulf and disrupt global energy supplies, or accept a negotiated outcome that falls short of the decisive victory Washington seeks.

One of the principal obstacles to an agreement, the senior regional diplomat said, ​is Washington’s reluctance to allow Tehran to emerge claiming victory.

“The United States wants something it can present as proof that it won the war,” the diplomat said.

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Qatar says mediators make progress in efforts to end US-Iran war

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Qatar said on Tuesday mediators were making progress in ​efforts to end the U.S.-Iran war, driving oil prices lower, although Tehran has denied President Donald Trump’s assertion that talks are already under way.

Benchmark Brent crude fell more than 5% ‌after the comments from Qatar, extending Monday’s steep losses on hopes that an arrangement could soon be reached to restore traffic through the blockaded Strait of Hormuz. But for now, the strait remained virtually shut, with another ship coming under attack while trying to cross it, Reuters reported.

Trump and Qatar’s Emir Sheikh Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani discussed efforts to narrow differences between Washington and Tehran and improve the prospects for a lasting settlement during a phone call on ​Tuesday, Qatar’s Emiri office said.

It said the emir stressed the importance of dialogue and adherence to the U.S.-Iran Memorandum of Understanding of mid-June that provided for the immediate cessation ​of military operations.

Trump said on Monday that talks with Tehran had started and Iran faced a “last chance” to reach a deal. Iranian officials insisted no ⁠negotiations with the U.S. were taking place.

The U.S. president’s comments on Monday followed his weekend decision to cancel plans for what he described as “massive attacks” on Iran, extending a pattern in which he has ​threatened major military action before pulling back and pointing to diplomatic contacts.

Iran’s Foreign Ministry spokesperson Esmaeil Baghaei said talks with Oman over transit through the strait were positive and continuing, focused on establishing safe ​shipping lanes, state media reported. He added the route being negotiated was aimed at ensuring the sovereign rights and national security of both Iran and Oman.

Senior U.S. officials struck an optimistic tone, with Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent and Secretary of State Marco Rubio both pointing to progress in discussions aimed at reopening the strait, a corridor that normally carries about a fifth of global oil and liquefied natural gas shipments.

“There’s been progress made in those talks, but not ​finality yet. We’re hoping that will happen very shortly,” Rubio told reporters, while Bessent said a deal with Iran on reopening Hormuz could be reached by Tuesday or Wednesday.

QUESTIONS ABOUT U.S. MILITARY ​STOCKPILES

More than five months into the war, concerns have been mounting about the sustainability of the U.S. military campaign. The U.S. Army has used up much of its stockpile of highly accurate long-range missiles during the war, ‌according to ⁠three people familiar with the data, raising concerns about the military’s readiness for future conflicts.

Trump has yet to achieve the objectives he set out at the start of the war: dismantling Iran’s nuclear programme, curbing its ability to attack regional rivals and creating conditions for Iranians to overthrow their clerical rulers.

Qatar’s Foreign Ministry spokesperson Majed al-Ansari said diplomatic contacts had reached “very progressive stages.”

He said mediators including Qatar, Pakistan and Oman were coordinating closely to facilitate negotiations and exchange draft proposals between Washington and Tehran.

A senior Pakistani security official said: “Our sole goal at this moment is to make both parties at least agree ​to start talking.”

SHIPPING RISKS REMAIN

Iran has halted most ​traffic through Hormuz while Washington maintains a blockade ⁠of Iran-related shipping and ports.

Yemen’s Iran-aligned Houthis have also imposed a naval blockade on Saudi Arabia in the Red Sea, further restricting oil export routes.

A cargo vessel reported being struck by an unidentified projectile near the Strait of Hormuz off Oman’s coast, according to the UK Maritime Trade Operations security agency. ​Maritime sources told Reuters on Tuesday the vessel was a dry bulk ship. Its crew abandoned the vessel and one seafarer was missing.

Later on Tuesday, ​India’s Shipping Minister Sarbananda Sonowal ⁠wrote on X that a projectile had hit and sunk an Indian vessel near Yemeni waters, with all 14 on board rescued by Yemen’s coast guard.

Iran has long demanded control over Hormuz, which it says it should share with Oman on the opposite shore. But Tehran rejected an Omani proposal last week that would have allowed shared oversight and the collection of voluntary fees from ships.

A senior Iranian source said Tehran is ⁠seeking full control ​over inbound shipping and visibility over outbound traffic, with the ability to intervene if necessary.

Giving Iran such control would be a ​major shift in the regional balance of power and make it more difficult for Washington to argue that “Operation Epic Fury”, which Trump launched alongside Israel in February, had weakened Washington’s longstanding foe.

“Their big advantage is that they can hurt the regional ​states and the global economy,” said Michael Knights of the Washington Institute.

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Status of US-Iran talks uncertain as ship struck in Hormuz

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Conflicting signals from the United States and Iran over the status of talks to end their five-month-old war boosted uncertainty on Tuesday, with the latest attack on ​shipping in the Strait of Hormuz highlighting risks to global energy flows.

U.S. President Donald Trump said the talks were under way on Monday, warning of a “last chance” ‌for Tehran to sign a good deal, but Iran denied that negotiations were being held or planned, Reuters reported.

“They are going on right now,” Trump told reporters at an Oval Office event when asked about the state of negotiations, saying the sides were talking at the request of Iran, Saudi Arabia, the United Arab Emirates and Qatar, among others.

“This is a last chance for them (Iran) to sign a good document.”

The comments followed Trump’s ​weekend decision to call off “massive attacks” he said he had authorized on Iran, as talks were to be held, repeating a pattern in which he has vowed major ​strikes only to cancel them.

Earlier on Monday, Iranian Foreign Ministry spokesman Esmail Baghaei said no negotiations with the United States were taking place ⁠and no meetings were scheduled.

Iran had no plans to host foreign delegations or send negotiators abroad in the coming days, he said.

Baghaei added that all Iranian negotiators were in the ​country, except for Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi, who was on a religious pilgrimage in Iraq. The only talks underway, he said, were discussions with Oman over management of the Strait of Hormuz.

Shipping ​activity in the Gulf only reinforced the ongoing stand-off since Iran all but shut off transits through the vital route for a fifth of global shipments of crude oil and natural gas before it was blockaded in the war.

One cargo vessel broadcast it had been hit by an unknown projectile near the strait off Oman’s coast, the United Kingdom Maritime Trade Operations (UKMTO) agency said.

Traffic through Hormuz remained largely slow, with three ​tankers and three bulk carriers among the six vessels transiting the strait on Monday, down from seven the previous day, Kpler data showed.

STOCKS RISE, OIL DOWN ON HOPES FOR RESOLUTION

Still, hopes ​that U.S.-Iran tensions were easing again pushed down oil prices, while major stock indexes gained on Monday.

Brent crude futures fell about 7% to around $83.77 a barrel while the Dow closed at a record high. Asian ‌stocks and ⁠oil prices both edged higher on Tuesday.

Gulf officials and analysts say Iran is betting it can outlast Washington by turning the Middle East’s trade routes, shipping lanes and energy infrastructure into pressure points that steadily raise the cost of confrontation.

It hopes such a strategy will convince the United States and its allies that containing the crisis is more costly than accommodating Iran’s demands over the Strait of Hormuz.

“Their big advantage is that they can hurt the regional states and the global economy,” said Michael Knights of the Washington Institute.

In a post on Truth Social later ​on Monday, Trump called Iran’s leadership “unbelievably duplicitous,” saying ​they had asked for a meeting and ⁠more talks were set for the “immediate future.”

He also repeated his assertion that the U.S. Navy had total control over the Strait of Hormuz.

“‘The United States Wall of Steel!’ Nothing gets through to Iran, unless we want it to, and nothing will get through, unless a Deal, ​or Total Surrender, is accomplished,” he wrote.

REPEATED PATTERN

Monday’s events appeared to fit a pattern since Trump launched “Operation Epic Fury” alongside Israel more ​than five months ago. Trump ⁠has threatened military action several times, only to later cite diplomatic contacts as a reason to step back.

Iran, however, has publicly rejected negotiations with Washington since the collapse in early July of a memorandum of understanding both signed the previous month, aimed at ending the conflict.

Trump has yet to achieve the objectives he set out at the outset of the war: dismantling Iran’s nuclear program, ⁠curbing its ability ​to attack regional rivals and creating conditions for Iranians to overthrow their clerical rulers.

Repeated U.S. actions have been ​met by escalating Iranian responses against U.S. forces in the region, Washington’s Gulf Arab allies and shipping, each time ending with Trump stepping back.

The Hormuz dispute remains a central point of contention, with Washington saying the June memorandum required Iran ​to open the strategic waterway, while Tehran says the text explicitly preserved its authority over shipping traffic.

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