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UAE seeks US financial backstop amid Iran war fallout, warns of possible shift from dollar

Emirati officials indicated that while the UAE has so far avoided the most severe economic impacts of the conflict, it may require financial support if conditions worsen.

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The United Arab Emirates has held discussions with the United States over securing a potential financial backstop as the fallout from the Iran conflict threatens to strain its economy, according to a report by The Wall Street Journal.

Citing U.S. officials, the report said the idea of support measures — including a possible currency swap arrangement — was raised by UAE Central Bank Governor Khaled Mohamed Balama during meetings in Washington with Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent, as well as officials from the Treasury and the Federal Reserve.

Emirati officials indicated that while the UAE has so far avoided the most severe economic impacts of the conflict, it may require financial support if conditions worsen. They also signalled that tighter dollar liquidity could push the country to use alternative currencies, including the Chinese yuan, for oil sales and other transactions.

Oil disruption and capital risks

The talks come as the conflict has disrupted key sectors of the UAE economy. Damage to energy infrastructure and restrictions on tanker traffic through the Strait of Hormuz have affected a major source of dollar-denominated revenue.

Officials cited in the report also pointed to rising risks of capital flight and market volatility, potentially challenging the UAE’s role as a regional financial hub.

The Emirati dirham remains pegged to the U.S. dollar and is supported by foreign currency reserves estimated at around $270 billion. However, analysts say the conflict has increased pressure through capital outflows and broader economic disruption.

US cautious on swap arrangements

Currency swap lines, typically managed by the Federal Reserve, are extended selectively during periods of financial stress. The Fed maintains standing arrangements with major economies including the UK, Japan, Canada, Switzerland and the euro area.

According to the report, U.S. officials said the Federal Open Market Committee is unlikely to approve a swap line for the UAE, citing relatively limited financial integration with U.S. markets.

During previous crises — including the 2008 global financial crisis and the COVID-19 pandemic — the Federal Reserve expanded swap facilities to stabilise global dollar funding markets. The U.S. Treasury has also provided alternative support in some cases, including a $20 billion swap arrangement for Argentina through the Exchange Stabilization Fund last year.

Regional impact and financial measures

The discussions follow a period of intense hostilities before a ceasefire took effect on April 17. UAE authorities said Iran launched more than 2,800 drones and missiles during the conflict, most of which were intercepted.

The disruption to oil flows forms part of a broader regional shock, which the International Energy Agency has described as one of the most severe supply disruptions on record.

Gulf states have moved to bolster liquidity in response. Abu Dhabi raised around $4 billion through private placements earlier this month, while Bahrain established an estimated $5 billion swap line with the UAE to support financial stability, the WSJ reported.

Outlook and policy considerations

A recent report by S&P Global said the UAE’s strong fiscal and external buffers should help absorb economic shocks, but warned that prolonged disruption to oil exports and infrastructure damage could weigh on the outlook.

The UAE has also considered measures such as freezing Iranian assets held within the country, a step that could further affect trade and financial flows.

Finance ministers and central bankers attending meetings of the International Monetary Fund and the World Bank in Washington said recovery is unlikely to be immediate. Saudi Finance Minister Mohammed Al-Jadaan noted that logistical disruptions to oil shipments could persist for weeks even after hostilities subside.

U.S. Treasury officials have also asked Gulf countries to outline reconstruction and financing needs, signalling readiness to provide support if required.

World

Arab and Islamic nations condemn Israel move on Somaliland

Israel has not publicly detailed the scope or status of the reported diplomatic appointment.

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Sixteen Arab and Islamic countries have jointly condemned Israel’s reported decision to appoint a diplomatic envoy to Somaliland, warning that the move risks undermining Somalia’s sovereignty and regional stability.

In a joint statement issued in Doha, foreign ministers from countries including Qatar, Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Türkiye and Pakistan said the step constituted a “blatant violation” of the sovereignty and territorial integrity of Somalia.

The statement referred to Somaliland as a “so-called” entity, underscoring the signatories’ position that the self-declared republic — which proclaimed independence from Somalia in 1991 — is not internationally recognised. Somalia’s federal government continues to regard Somaliland as part of its territory.

“We reiterate our categorical rejection of all unilateral actions that infringe upon the unity or sovereignty of states,” the ministers said, adding that they fully support Somalia’s federal institutions as “the sole representatives of the will of the Somali people.”

The group also argued that Israel’s reported move contravenes international law, including the United Nations Charter and the founding principles of the African Union, both of which emphasise respect for territorial integrity.

Analysts say the issue is particularly sensitive in the Horn of Africa, where questions of recognition and sovereignty remain closely tied to security and political stability. While Somaliland has developed its own government, currency and security structures over the past three decades, it has struggled to gain formal international recognition.

The ministers warned that any steps perceived as recognising Somaliland could set a “dangerous precedent,” potentially fuelling tensions in the region and complicating efforts to maintain peace and stability.

Israel has not publicly detailed the scope or status of the reported diplomatic appointment.

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Ghalibaf accuses Donald Trump of ‘false claims’, warns on Strait of Hormuz

In a post on X, Ghalibaf said, “The President of the United States made seven claims in one hour, all seven of which were false.”

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Iranian Parliament Speaker Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, who led Tehran’s delegation in recent talks with the United States in Islamabad, on Saturday accused US President Donald Trump of making multiple false claims.

In a post on X, Ghalibaf said, “The President of the United States made seven claims in one hour, all seven of which were false.”

Criticising the US administration, he added, “They did not win the war with these lies, and they will certainly not get anywhere in negotiations either.”

Ghalibaf also warned that if Washington continues its blockade, the Strait of Hormuz may not remain open. He stated that passage through the strait would be regulated via designated routes and subject to Iranian authorisation.

“Whether the strait is open or closed, and the rules governing it, will be determined in the field, not on social media,” he said, adding that media narratives would not influence the Iranian public.

He further urged audiences to rely on official sources, including statements from Iran’s Foreign Ministry spokesperson, for accurate updates on negotiations.

Meanwhile, Iran’s Foreign Minister Seyyed Abbas Araghchi on Friday confirmed the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz, offering temporary relief for global shipping.

“In line with the ceasefire in Lebanon, passage for all commercial vessels through the Strait of Hormuz is declared fully open for the duration of the ceasefire, along coordinated routes already announced by the Ports and Maritime Organisation of the Islamic Republic of Iran,” Araghchi said in a post on X.

Responding to the development, Trump wrote on Truth Social that Iran had agreed not to close the strait again, calling it a move that would prevent its use as a “weapon against the world.”

However, he added that the naval blockade would remain in place until a broader “transaction” with Iran is completed.

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Trump says he may go to Islamabad if Iran deal reached

Trump struck ⁠an optimistic tone about Iran ​as he spoke with reporters on the ​White House lawn on his way to a trip to Nevada and Arizona.

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U.S. President ​Donald Trump said on Thursday that ‌if a deal with Iran to conclude the war is reached and signed in Islamabad, ​he might go, and that Iran ​has agreed to almost everything, Reuters reported.

Trump struck ⁠an optimistic tone about Iran ​as he spoke with reporters on the ​White House lawn on his way to a trip to Nevada and Arizona. He said ​he could extend a U.S.-Iran ​ceasefire set to expire next week, but may ‌not ⁠need to do so.

“If a deal is signed in Islamabad I may go,” Trump said. “They want me.”

He also said ​without providing ​evidence ⁠that Iran has agreed to give up the enriched uranium ​believed buried from U.S.-Israeli airstrikes ​last ⁠year. Trump is pushing for a deal with Iran in which Tehran ⁠would ​give up its nuclear ​program.

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